Lost in the furor over what Moscow did or did not do, and what effects it did or did not have, is the broader question of what this incident says about Russian intentions and aims. Just how unusual was it for great powers to interfere in a democracy’s electoral processes, and just how outraged should Americans be by the alleged activities?
Recent years have seen an increase in the number of "arms denial" attempts, where the acquisition of new capabilities by a given country or non-state actor has been obstructed using a variety of non-cooperative tools that are short of war. Examples include shipment interdictions on the high seas, limited military strikes, and cyber attacks. What are the root causes of this increase? What can be expected in the future? To address these questions, this research develops a formal model exploring the strategic interactions resulting from arms denial and derives theoretical and policy-oriented implications for arms races, conflict management, and regional stability.
Please join us! Coffee and tea provided. Everyone is welcome, but admittance will be on a first come–first served basis.