Mailing address
Littauer 376B
Belfer Center for Science & International Affairs
79 John F. Kennedy Street, Mailbox 53
Cambridge, MA, 02138
Monica Duffy Toft
Associate Professor of Public Policy
Member of the Board, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
Contact:
Telephone: (617) 495-3966
Fax: (617)-496-2254
Email: monica_toft@harvard.edu
Experience
Monica Duffy Toft is an Associate Professor of Public Policy at the John F. Kennedy School of Government. She holds a Ph.D. and M.A. from the University of Chicago and a B.A. in Political Science and Slavic Languages and Literatures from the University of California, Santa Barbara. Professor Toft was a research intern at the RAND Corporation and served in the U.S. Army in southern Germany as a Russian voice interceptor. Her research interests include international relations, nationalism and ethnic conflict, civil and interstate wars, the relationship between demography and national security, and military and strategic planning. Professor Toft is the author of The Geography of Ethnic Conflict: Identity, Interests, and Territory (Princeton University Press, 2003) and co-editor of The Fog of Peace: Strategic and Military Planning under Uncertainty (Routledge, 2006).
Professor Toft is director of the Belfer Center's Initiative on Religion in International Affairs, which was established with a generous grant from the Henry Luce Foundation.
AP Photo
June 2, 2008
"Why Islam Lies at the Heart of Iraq's Civil War"
Op-Ed, Christian Science Monitor
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
"...[N]ot until 2007 did the Pentagon acknowledge that Iraqi sectarian violence had crossed a threshold to become a civil war.
But policymakers still haven't come to terms with the implications of that fact. If they did, they'd see that a wisely executed withdrawal of US-led forces could well be the surest path to peace. That's because withdrawal is likely to transform the fighting in Iraq into a defensive struggle for power in a nation-state, as opposed to an offensive battle rooted in religion."
June 2007
"The Myth of the Borderless World: Refugees and Repatriation Policy"
Journal Article, Conflict Management and Peace Science, issue 2, volume 24
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
This essay explores the impact of the end of the Cold War on the counter-refugee-crisis policies of the United Nations and its strongest member states.
Spring 2007
"Getting Religion? The Puzzling Case of Islam and Civil War"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 4, volume 31
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
This article argues that overlapping historical, geographical and, in particular, structural factors together with an absence of an internecine religious war, the proximity of Islam’s holiest sites to Israel, large petroleum reserves, and jihad account for Islam’s higher representation in civil wars.
November 13, 2006
"Iraq is Gone. Now What?"
Op-Ed, The Washington Post
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
"...the stability and prosperity of a post-civil-war state depends in large measure on how the war ends."
September 2006
The Fog of Peace and War Planning: Military and Strategic Planning under Uncertainty
Book
By Talbot C. Imlay and Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
This volume sets out to examine and analyse how governments and military organizations planned for an uncertain and potentially threatening future during four different peacetime periods spanning from the beginning of the nineteenth century to the aftermath of the Second World War.
September 6, 2006
"Strategic and Military Planning under the Fog of Peace"
Book Chapter
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy and Talbot C. Imlay
"...in their scope and diversity, the cases provide an excellent overview of the challenges confronting military planners over the last two hundred years."
September 6, 2006
"Conclusion: Seven Lessons Learned from the Fog of Peace"
Book Chapter
By Talbot C. Imlay and Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
"...the fog of peace can never be entirely pierced. Flexibility and constant cultivation of the ability to question received wisdom and to reconsider assumptions are the best security against catastrophic failure in a future war, regardless of whether that war resembles a more traditional interstate war or the current war on terror."
August 20, 2006
"Religion's Flame Burns Brighter Than Ever"
Op-Ed, The Baltimore Sun
By Timothy Samuel Shah and Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
What happened to the world's transition to secularism?
July 2006
"Religion, Civil War, and International Order"
Discussion Paper
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
This article addresses the question of why religion becomes a central issue in some civil wars whereas in others—even many of those whose primary combatants identify strongly with a particular religion—it has not.
yaznotjaz
July / August 2006
"Why God is Winning"
Magazine or Newspaper Article, Foreign Policy
By Timothy Samuel Shah and Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
"Religion was supposed to fade away as globalization and freedom spread. Instead, it's booming around the world, often deciding who gets elected. And the divine intervention is just beginning. Democracy is giving people a voice, and more and more, they want to talk about God."
