31 Items

Photo of Presidents Trump and Xi around table at Mar-a-Lago April 2017.

(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Analysis & Opinions - CNN.com

Trump Demonstrated the Art of the Show With Xi

| Apr. 14, 2017

The stakes were high at the initial meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping last week: No two individuals will have a greater impact on the global order in the years ahead and, beyond that, as far as any eye can see.

Personal chemistry is often a critical factor in foreign relations, and while no one expected major breakthroughs on the substantive issues, the meeting allowed the leaders to get to know each other.
So, how did Trump do? And what does it mean for this most vital of international relationships?

Presidents Trump and Xi shake hands.

(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Magazine Article - The National Interest

How America and China Could Stumble to War

| Apr. 12, 2017

WAR BETWEEN the United States and China is not inevitable, writes Graham Allison, "but it is certainly possible. Indeed, as these scenarios illustrate, the underlying stress created by China’s disruptive rise creates conditions in which accidental, otherwise inconsequential events could trigger a large-scale conflict. That outcome is not preordained: out of the sixteen cases of Thucydides’s Trap over the last five hundred years, war was averted four times. But avoiding war will require statecraft as subtle as that of the British in dealing with a rising America a century ago, or the wise men that crafted a Cold War strategy to meet the Soviet Union’s surge without bombs or bullets. Whether Chinese and American leaders can rise to this challenge is an open question. What is certain is that the fate of the world rests upon the answer."

Trump speaks at the White House, January 31, 2017.

AP Images

Analysis & Opinions - Politico

Trump Year One: Place Your Bets

| January 31, 2017

The real world offers no opportunity to opt out. We may try to escape responsibility by refusing to choose. But we cannot escape the consequences. Whether we make our bets explicitly, or only implicitly, stuff happens. Whether we act on the basis of our bets or not, the real world grinds on. Painful as it is, therefore, we must analyze the confusion as best we can, place our bets, and take the consequences.


2015 Military Reform in the People’s Republic of China

  • Andrei A. Kokoshin
| October 2016

The military reform in the People’s Republic of China (PRC), announced by China’s supreme party and state officials in 2015, is unprecedented in scale and depth. It aims to add a new dimension to China’s armed forces - to provide for more a compelling strategic deterrence and ability to win a local war, if such war breaks out. This reform is also a demonstration of a critical stage of development of China’s political system.