Journal Article - Quarterly Journal: International Security
China's Use of Force, 1950-96, and Taiwan
Abstract
How likely is China to use force to achieve its political aims? Can we predict Chinese actions against Taiwan based on Beijing's past behavior? To shed light on these questions, Allen Whiting of the University of Arizona examines eight Chinese military engagements from 1950 to 1996 that involved the United States, the Soviet Union, or their proxies. In these conflicts, says Whiting, China was able to balance risk taking and risk management to avoid either defeat or escalation by its opponents. Beijing also "gave priority to political goals of deterrence and coercive diplomacy" in pursuing its objectives. Although a variety of contingency factors makes predictions about Chinese behavior toward Taiwan virtually impossible, Whiting does suggest that China's past willingness to use force could cast "a worrisome shadow over the next decade."
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For Academic Citation:
Whiting, Allen S.. “China's Use of Force, 1950-96, and Taiwan.” Quarterly Journal: International Security, vol. 26. no. 2. (Fall 2001): 103-131 .
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Abstract
How likely is China to use force to achieve its political aims? Can we predict Chinese actions against Taiwan based on Beijing's past behavior? To shed light on these questions, Allen Whiting of the University of Arizona examines eight Chinese military engagements from 1950 to 1996 that involved the United States, the Soviet Union, or their proxies. In these conflicts, says Whiting, China was able to balance risk taking and risk management to avoid either defeat or escalation by its opponents. Beijing also "gave priority to political goals of deterrence and coercive diplomacy" in pursuing its objectives. Although a variety of contingency factors makes predictions about Chinese behavior toward Taiwan virtually impossible, Whiting does suggest that China's past willingness to use force could cast "a worrisome shadow over the next decade."
Want to Read More?
The full text of this publication is available via the original publication source.- Recommended
- In the Spotlight
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Analysis & Opinions - Project Syndicate
How to Prevent a War Over Taiwan
Analysis & Opinions - Lawfare
Why the United States Is Losing the Tech War With China
Analysis & Opinions - War on the Rocks
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Analysis & Opinions - Foreign Policy
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