Analysis & Opinions

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Analysis & Opinions - The Diplomat

Watch Out for the Blowback of Secondary Sanctions on North Korea

| Apr. 28, 2017

While tensions continue to flare along the Korean peninsula, the Trump administration struggles to articulate its strategy to persuade North Korea to halt its nuclear program. In a recent visit to the de-militarized zone, Vice President Pence warned Pyongyang to not test America’s “strength and resolve,” citing recent U.S. military strikes in Syria and Afghanistan as a forewarning. A not-so-veiled threat that the Trump administration considers “all options” to be on the table. What is unknown, however, is whether this increased rhetoric is merely saber-rattling or is the opening salvo for a true shift from Obama’s doctrine of “strategic patience.” That is, continuing to apply political and economic pressure until Pyongyang returns to the negotiating table.

Marines stand near an artillery piece that links to solar panels during an exhibition of green energy technology in Twentynine Palms, Calif.

AP

Analysis & Opinions - PBS NEWSHOUR

Why the U.S. Should Remain in the Paris Climate Agreement

| Apr. 27, 2017

It was reported that today there would be a meeting in the White House where the President's key advisers will discuss whether the United States should remain a party to the Paris climate agreement. With this in mind, the authors reflect in this essay on the history of international climate negotiations, observe why this is a pivotal moment, and explain why they think that the United States should remain in the Paris agreement.

Elysee Palace

CC

Analysis & Opinions - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School

Keep Mme. Le Pen Away From Legitimate French Society

| Apr. 27, 2017

There are a number of reasons why Marine Le Pen should not be elected President of France, apart from the fact that she has headed a neo-Fascist political party that was founded by her father, the former military officer and parliamentary deputy, Jean-Marie Le Pen.

Cluver, Chaudhry and Najam

Benn Craig/Belfer Center

Analysis & Opinions - India and South Asia Project

Conversations in Diplomacy: Aizaz Ahmad Chaudhry and Adil Najam

| Apr. 27, 2017

Pakistan's Ambassador to the U.S. Aizaz Ahmad Chaudhry and Dean of the Frederick S. Pardee School of Global Studies at Boston University Adil Najam discuss the ups and downs of US-Pakistan relations and possibilities for engagement under the new US administration.

Donald Trump and Xi Jinping at Mar-a-Lago, Florida

AP

Analysis & Opinions - Foreign Policy

The Worst Mistake of Trump's First 100 Days

| Apr. 26, 2017

"...[B]ut in the long run Trump's biggest mistake has been his clueless approach to Asia. Europe is important, but its current problems are mostly internal and the United States cannot do much to address them. The Middle East is a mess, of course, but the United States does not need to fix it, does not know how to fix it, and shouldn't waste time, money, or soldiers' lives trying to fix it. Trump may find himself dragged back into the Middle East cauldron — especially if he tries to get tough with Iran — but his missteps there have done little damage so far (fingers crossed)."

Pyongyang, North Korea, April 15, 2017.

Wong Maye-E/AP

Analysis & Opinions - Defense One

Scuttle the Iran Nuke Deal? That Approach Didn’t Stop North Korea

| Apr. 26, 2017

“The Trump administration is currently conducting across the entire government a review of our Iran policy,” U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson announced on April 19, adding that “an unchecked Iran has the potential to follow the same path as North Korea and take the world along with it.” Ironically, the Trump administration appears to be following the same path on Iran as George W. Bush did on North Korea. The result could be equally dangerous.

By undermining implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA — a viable, verified, and sound agreement that blocks Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons — President Trump risks removing the shackles from Tehran’s nuclear efforts. We’ve been down that road before; instead of preserving and strengthening the Agreed Framework with North Korea, Bush freed Pyongyang to keep working on nuclear weapons that could eventually reach American territory.

Donald Trump and Jared Kushner in Oval Office

AP

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

Trump Has Learned a Lot. But He's Neglecting a Huge Part of American Leadership.

| Apr. 25, 2017

"The system the United States created has been called a liberal international order, because openness produces public goods available to all. But the label is confusing because it covers political-military affairs, economic relations, ecological relations and even promotion of liberal values. It remains to be seen to what degree these different aspects depend on each other and what the result will be if Trump unpacks the post-1945 package."

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Analysis & Opinions - The Guardian

Can Donald Trump better negotiate Nafta? Yes, by bringing back TTP- The Guardian

| Apr. 25, 2017

If NAFTA is to be renegotiated, improvements could include strengthening labor and environmental protections, improving dispute-settlement mechanisms, adding new issues areas, and including more countries.  Is that pie in the sky?  The negotiators already did it last year.  It was called TPP.  

Cathryn Cluver, Beena Sarwar and Cameron Munter

Benn Craig/Belfer Center

Analysis & Opinions - India and South Asia Project

Conversations in Diplomacy: Beena Sarwar and Cameron Munter

| Apr. 25, 2017

In this installation of the 'Conversations in Diplomacy' podcast, Cameron Munter, former US Ambassador to Pakistan and CEO of the EastWest Institute and Beena Sarwar, award-winning Pakistani journalist and filmmaker, discuss the relationship between women's empowerment, economic development and security with Executive Director Cathryn Cluver.