CHINA'S ECONOMY
August 13, 2008
"Climate of Security"
Op-Ed, The Korea Times
By Joseph S. Nye, Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations
"...Climate change will put stress on weak governments in poor countries and may lead to an increase in the number of failed states and become an indirect source of international conflict. United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon argued in 2007 that the Darfur conflict 'began as an ecological crisis, arising in part from climate change.'
Such direct and indirect effects from human activity, while not malevolent in intention like terrorism, argue for a broadening of our concept of security and the adoption of new policies...."
AP Photo
August 11, 2008
"China's Quick Fall, Slow Return to Glory"
Op-Ed, The Boston Globe
By Philip Auerswald, Associate, Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program
"...China's resurgence extends to a domain in which the country has historically been weak: science and technology. Twenty years ago, China was not on the list of the top 10 exporters of high-tech products; today it is number one. The United States remains the world leader with regard to research and development investments, but in China such spending has for over a decade been growing at a remarkable 19 percent per year — more than six times the US rate...."
July 2008
"Technical, Environmental, and Economic Assessment of Deploying Advanced Coal Power Technologies in the Chinese Context"
Journal Article, Energy Policy, issue 7, volume 36
By Lifeng Zhao, Former Research Fellow, Energy Technology Innovation Policy Research Group/Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program, 2006-2008, Yunhan Xiao, Kelly Sims Gallagher, Director, Energy Technology Innovation Policy and Xiang Xu
The authors evaluate the differences in technical performance, environmental impact, and costs for capital and electricity for a variety of advanced coal power technologies based on the technological and economic levels in 2006 in China. This study investigates especially the economic gaps between Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle - the technology most able to capture CO2 at a relatively low cost - and other advanced coal power technologies.
July-August 2008
"Size Matters"
Magazine or Newspaper Article, The American Interest, issue 6, volume 3
By Richard N. Rosecrance, Adjunct Professor; Senior Fellow, International Security Program
"As the American political system hurtles toward its quadrennial encounter with the oracle of democracy, it is worth our while to take stock of the country's place in a world beset by bewilderingly rapid change. (Heaven knows none of the candidates will bother to do this.) I want to suggest that an old yet generally neglected subject remains particularly relevant: the relationship between the size of political units and the effective scale of systems of economic production and exchange. Another way to describe this relationship is by recourse to the hoary scholarly phrase "political economy", a term of art that has unfortunately gone out of style...."
AP Photo
June 11, 2008
"Balancing Asia's Rivals"
Op-Ed, The Korea Times
By Joseph S. Nye, Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations
"...Bush leaves behind a better legacy in Asia. American relations with Japan and China remain strong, and he has greatly enhanced the United States' ties with India, the world's second most populous country....Improved relations between India and the U.S. can structure the international situation in a manner that encourages such an evolution in Chinese policy, whereas trying to isolate China would be a mistake.
Handled properly, the simultaneous rise of China and India could be good for all countries."
March 14, 2008
"The Rise of China: Energy and Environmental Implications"
Presentation
By Kelly Sims Gallagher, Director, Energy Technology Innovation Policy
In this presentation, Kelly Sims Gallagher discusses the environmental and energy implications of China's economic growth in the 20th and 21st centuries.
T. Jean
October 27, 2006
"China’s Automobile Growth and Implications for World Oil Markets"
Presentation
By Kelly Sims Gallagher, Director, Energy Technology Innovation Policy
The Energy Technology Innovation Policy research group (ETIP) seeks to combat global warming and climate change by promoting strategies for efficient energy technologies in China, India, and the United States, such as advanced coal technologies, carbon capture and storage (CCS), and advanced vehicle technologies.
May 2006
China Shifts Gears: Automakers, Oil, Pollution, and Development
Book
By Kelly Sims Gallagher, Director, Energy Technology Innovation Policy
In China Shifts Gears, Kelly Sims Gallagher identifies an unprecedented opportunity for China to "shift gears" and avoid the usual problems associated with the automobile industry while spurring economic development.
April 19, 2006
Assessing China's Power
Op-Ed, The Boston Globe
By Joseph S. Nye, Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations
Fall 2005
"The Future of U.S.-China Relations: Is Conflict Inevitable?"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 2, volume 30
What is likely to be the future character of the relationship between the United States and the People’s Republic of China? Will it be marked by convergence toward deepening cooperation, stability, and peace or by deterioration that leads to increasingly open competition and perhaps even war?
