Research, ideas, and leadership for a more secure, peaceful world
Can compliance with the demands on which economic sanctions on Iraq were conditioned be measured with rigor and precision?
Can compliance with the demands on which economic sanctions on Iraq were conditioned be measured with rigor and precision? The speaker will argue that it is possible. This paper uses structured, focused comparison of cases to guide the construction of a spatial model for the study of sanctions compliance. It then uses that spatial model to examine the patterns of compliance that Iraq exhibited with the demands of the United Nations Security Council economic sanctions regime in the 1990s.
The model is uniquely able to demonstrate that Iraq's relative partial compliance increased through the early and mid-1990s, decreased in the late 1990s, and increased again in the months following the September 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States. The speaker will conclude by formulating hypotheses concerning the reason behind these policy shifts on the part of the Iraqi government, which provide insight into the question of whether Iraq was the "threat to international peace and security" that the United States claimed in its petition for Security Council aid in the invasion.
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