Analysis & Opinions - The National Interest

Why There Won't Be a Nuclear Grand Bargain with Iran

| July 17, 2014

The Joint Plan of Action (JPOA) agreed upon by Iran and the P5+1 (the five permanent UN Security Council members plus Germany) in November 2013 is rapidly approaching its July 20 expiration date without a comprehensive agreement to resolve the nuclear dispute in sight. The JPOA, which was intended to serve as a six-month interim measure during which a lasting accord could be negotiated, largely keeps Iran from advancing its nuclear program. If the JPOA expires without a comprehensive deal or a renewal of the existing one, these restrictions on Iran's program will be removed.

Recently, signs of a compromise on the disposition of Iran's heavy-water reactor at Arak have increased expectations that a comprehensive deal might be achieved at the eleventh hour. Unfortunately, this seems to be wishful thinking....

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For more information on this publication: Belfer Communications Office
For Academic Citation: Fikenscher, Sven-Eric and Robert Reardon.“Why There Won't Be a Nuclear Grand Bargain with Iran.” The National Interest, July 17, 2014.

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