Nuclear Issues

59 Items

Chinese President Xi Jinping is displayed on a big screen in Beijing as Chinese battle tanks roll by during a Sept. 3, 2015 parade commemorating the 70th anniversary of Japan's surrender during World War II.

(AP Photo)

Magazine Article - The Atlantic

The Thucydides Trap: Are the U.S. and China Headed for War?

| September 24, 2015

The defining question about global order for this generation is whether China and the United States can escape Thucydides’s Trap. The Greek historian’s metaphor reminds us of the attendant dangers when a rising power rivals a ruling power—as Athens challenged Sparta in ancient Greece, or as Germany did Britain a century ago. Most such contests have ended badly, often for both nations, a team of mine at the Harvard Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs has concluded after analyzing the historical record. In 12 of 16 cases over the past 500 years, the result was war. When the parties avoided war, it required huge, painful adjustments in attitudes and actions on the part not just of the challenger but also the challenged.

Israeli PM Yitzhak Rabin with President Bill Clinton & Yasser Arafat during the signing of the Oslo I Accord in 1993. The failing of this peace process was an important missed opportunity during Clinton's tenure.

Wikimedia CC 3.0

Analysis & Opinions - Foreign Policy

I Changed My Mind...

| March 13, 2015

"...[O]ver time I’ve changed my mind about a fair number of academic, historical, and contemporary issues. I used to believe a number of things that turned out not to be correct, and there are others where at a minimum I know have considerable doubts. And guess what? Changing my mind isn't all that painful a process; in fact, it can be both liberating and enjoyable to realize that earlier beliefs were mistaken."

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry sits with Defense Secretary-Designate Ashton Carter before the two Massachusetts residents hold a one-on-one meeting on January 7, 2015, in the Secretary's Outer Office at the U.S. Department of State in Washington, D.C.

U.S. State Dept.

Analysis & Opinions - Foreign Policy

What Would Ash Carter Do?

| January 30, 2015

"As a public service, therefore, I offer the following Top 10 Questions to ask Ash Carter at his confirmation hearing....Under what conditions would you recommend the use of force against Iran's nuclear facilities? Given that a military attack could delay an Iranian bomb for only a year or two, and would probably increase Iran's desire to obtain an actual deterrent, does keeping 'all options on the table' make sense?..."