68 Items

Analysis & Opinions - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

What it Will Take for Iran Nuclear Talks to Succeed

| December 18, 2014

"In the next seven months, the key challenge will be to manage domestic audiences on both sides. While Rouhani and his delegation are strengthened by Khamenei's support, the Obama administration is going to be challenged by the new Congress. This could prove detrimental to the talks."

Fighter aircraft from Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and the United States attacked oil refineries in eastern Syria controlled by the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, Sept. 24, 2014.

DOD

Analysis & Opinions - The National Interest

The Deeper Meaning of the Iran Nuclear Talks: ISIS, the Middle East and Beyond

| November 24, 2014

"ISIS cannot be defeated with airstrikes, and that's all the West seems prepared to do. The coalition needs local and regional support. It must be prepared to send in large numbers of ground forces for a long time. Only Iran will be both able and willing to do that."

Analysis & Opinions - The Times of Israel

A Nuclear Deal with Iran is Best for Israel

| November 20, 2014

"In the past few years, the threat of an Israeli attack became a major concern for many Iranians. For them, that's a terrifying prospect. The last time Iran was involved in a war, it was a devastating one, lasting eight years, involving the use of chemical weapons against it, targeting of Iranian cities with missiles, and leading to the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people. But aside from the humanitarian and economic costs, the war also had a key political implication, one lasting to this day. The regime of the newly founded Islamic Republic was consolidated by the war. At the end of the war, thousands of people were executed, while many more fled the country."

Analysis & Opinions - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

How Does Religion Really Influence Iranian Nuclear Policy?

| November 18, 2014

"It's true that the regime sometimes makes decisions that seem irrational to outside observers. But this is not generally due to religious belief but rather to the fact that the regime's interests and the national interest do not align—for example, Iran and Israel have many common strategic interests, yet Tehran has adopted anti-Israeli rhetoric and policies since the 1979 revolution. This stance may not serve national interests, but it certainly advances the Islamic Republic's interest in a strong, external-enemy narrative."

Analysis & Opinions - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Bringing Iran into the Nuclear Security Summit

| November 6, 2014

"Iran would join a group of six other Middle Eastern states at the summit—Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates. The meeting would thus provide a forum for these countries to engage on nuclear security issues, a rare and much-needed opportunity for the region. Currently, there are few venues where the Arab states, Iran, Israel, and Turkey can meet to constructively discuss anything."

Analysis & Opinions - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Hitting the Sweet Spot: How Many Iranian Centrifuges?

| October 27, 2014

"Tehran has made it clear that its goal is to have industrial-scale enrichment. But while fixing a clear and concrete goal, Khamenei's speech also gave a lot of room for his negotiating team to maneuver. This part of the speech was lost in translation in the United States."

Analysis & Opinions - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Does it Matter if Iran Developed Nuclear Weapons at Parchin?

| October 13, 2014

"Last week, an explosion at the Iranian military complex known as Parchin drew even more attention to the site, already one of the most contentious in the country's nuclear dossier. Since satellite imagery of the October 5 blast surfaced on the Internet, it has been pored over by non-proliferation experts and provoked ill-informed analysis by Iran hawks."