615 Items

This combination image shows U.S. President Joe Biden in Washington, Nov. 6, 2021, and China's President Xi Jinping in Brasília, Brazil, Nov. 13, 2019.

AP Photo/Alex Brandon, Eraldo Peres

Paper - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School

The Great Diplomatic Rivalry: China vs the U.S.

This report is not about current U.S. and Chinese diplomatic efforts to meet challenges posed by Putin’s invasion of Ukraine and the ongoing war. Instead, it is an assessment of both nations’ statecraft and diplomacy in addressing the challenges posed by the first 20 years of the 21st century—before Putin invaded Ukraine.

Analysis & Opinions - The Wall Street Journal

Semiconductor Dependency Imperils American Security

| June 20, 2022

Morris Chang, founder of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. , gave a rare interview in April. He believes Congress’s current effort to provide $50 billion in subsidies to American semiconductor companies, in the hope that they will become industry leaders, is “a very expensive exercise in futility.” While he may be correct that U.S. firms are unlikely to overtake TSMC, that isn’t the point: Complete dependence on Taiwan for advanced semiconductors puts American national security at risk.

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Analysis & Opinions - Barron's

Economists Have Been Slow to Apply History, With One Big Exception

| May 26, 2022

Is the U.S. economy headed for a hard landing? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell says no. At the Federal Open Market Committee’s May 4 press conference, he insisted that the Fed will manage a “softish” landing. To the contrary, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says unambiguously yes—with an exclamation point. And he explains the reasons for his confidence in his prediction: “If you look at history, there has never been a moment where inflation is above 4% and unemployment is below 5% where we did not have a recession within the next two years.” While Summers’s bet is important in itself for investors and policy makers, the process of reasoning that leads him to this conclusion is also instructive.

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Analysis & Opinions - The National Interest

Would Putin’s Russia Really Nuke Ukraine?

| April 22, 2022

In Vladimir Putin’s war of aggression against Ukraine, could he conduct a nuclear strike on a Ukrainian city? Unfortunately, but unquestionably, the answer is: yes. As CIA director William Burns said last week directly when asked this question: “…none of us can take lightly the threat posed by a potential resort to … nuclear weapons.” As Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy told CNN in an interview aired last Saturday: “We shouldn’t wait for the moment when Russia decides to use nuclear weapons … For [Putin], life of the people is nothing.”

Photo of workers wearing face masks to help curb the spread of the coronavirus assembly ice-skating shoes at a manufacturing factory in the ice and snow sports equipment industry park in Zhangjiakou in northwestern China's Hebei province on July 15, 2021.

(AP Photo/Andy Wong, File)

Analysis & Opinions - Barron's

Economic Weight Is Power. China Is Gaining Fast.

| April 15, 2022

Who is the manufacturing workshop of the world? Who is the major trading partner of most nations? Who is the exporter of the most essential links in the global supply chain? Who is the largest producer and consumer of electric vehicles? According to the yardstick that both the Central Intelligence Agency and International Monetary Fund judge the best for comparing national economies, who has the largest economy in the world today?

The American and Chinese flags wave at Genting Snow Park ahead of the 2022 Winter Olympics, Feb. 2, 2022, in Zhangjiakou, China.

(AP Photo/Kiichiro Sato, File)

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

How Xi and Biden can broker peace in Ukraine

| April 8, 2022

At the dawn of the 20th century, as the Russo-Japanese War grew increasingly violent, the leader of a nation that had never played a role on the global stage stepped forward to become the peacemaker. After more than 100,000 Russian and Japanese soldiers died in the bloody battle of Mukden, Russia’s czar and Japan’s emperor were ready to respond to Theodore Roosevelt’s proposal. He invited each man to send a representative to the United States to negotiate a peace treaty.

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Analysis & Opinions - The Hill

The US can help Putin lose the war — for Russia’s future

| April 5, 2022

President Biden has a rare opportunity to hurt Vladimir Putin’s Russia and help Team USA at the same time. He has already announced a humanitarian initiative to allow 100,000 Ukrainian refugees to come to the U.S. As a complement to this program, the administration should create 100,000 special Scientific Freedom visas to attract superstars from Russia to come to the U.S. and show Putin and those who stick with him what free individuals in an open society can create.

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Analysis & Opinions - Foreign Affairs

Putin’s Doomsday Threat

| April 5, 2022

As Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has stalled and its forces have pivoted to the battleground in the east, the war is entering a new, darker, and more dangerous phase. Mariupol provides a preview of that future. The Vladimir Putin who bombed the Russian city of Grozny into rubble in order to “liberate” it, and who joined Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad in razing Aleppo, certainly has no moral reservations about mass destruction. Moreover, the war in Ukraine is now unambiguously Putin’s war, and the Russian leader knows that he cannot lose—without risking his regime and even his life. So as the fighting continues, if he is pushed to choose between making an ignominious retreat and escalating the level of violence, we should prepare for the worst. In the extreme, this could include nuclear weapons.