188 Items

In this December 4, 2017, photo, part of the Republican Senate bill "Tax Cuts and Jobs Act" is photographed in Washington. Republican tax legislation advancing toward final votes in Congress could undermine “Obamacare” health insurance markets, and add to the financial squeeze on Medicare over time.  (AP Photo/Jon Elswick)

(AP Photo/Jon Elswick)

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

We Are Even More Convinced That Thousands Will Die Prematurely if the ACA is Repealed

| Dec. 12, 2017

On December 11, The Washington Post published an article by Casey Mulligan and Tomas Philipson attacking Lawrence Summers’s statement that “thousands” of individuals would die if the Republican tax bill became law. Summers reached his estimate after carefully reviewing the literature and consulting with health economists Jonathan Gruber and Mulligan and Philipson’s University of Chicago colleague Dean Kate Baicker, who has published a number of influential studies on the effect of health insurance on health.

Traders Michael Smyth, left, and William Lawrence work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Dec. 6, 2017 (AP Photo/Richard Drew).

AP Photo/Richard Drew

Analysis & Opinions - Financial Times

U.S. Economy Faces a Painful Comedown from its 'Sugar High'

| Dec. 10, 2017
Sadly, the best available evidence suggests that signs of market and economic strength are largely unrelated to government policy; that the drivers of this year’s strong performance are probably transient; and that the structural foundation of the US economy is weakening. In this sense sugar high remains the right diagnosis — and tax cuts very much the wrong prescription.

Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, center, walks with Sen. Jeff Flake, R-Ariz., left, and Sen. Luther Strange R-Ala., right, on Capitol Hill on Dec. 1, 2017 (AP Photo/Susan Walsh).

AP Photo/Susan Walsh

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

Susan Collins is Wrong to Say that the Tax Cuts Will Pay For Themselves, Despite the Economists She Cites

| Dec. 04, 2017

Sen. Susan Collins speaking on “Meet the Press” defended her vote on the Senate GOP tax bill based on the claims of the signatories to the nine economists' letter that we have criticized over the last week. The Maine Republican explained: “If you take the CBO’s formula and apply it, just four-tenths of one percent increase in the GDP generates revenues of a trillion dollars. ... So I think if we can stimulate the economy, create more jobs, that does generate more revenue.”

In this Aug. 10, 2017, photo, Sara Hayden poses with some of her medications at home in Half Moon Bay, Calif. Hayden lost her job as a data researcher because of medical problems and is now covered by Medi-Cal, as Medicaid is called in California (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez).

AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

Yes, the Senate GOP Tax Plan Would Cause 'Thousands' to Die

| Dec. 03, 2017

I suggested on Friday when it became clear that the tax bill would pass that “thousands would die.” In light of my sharp criticism of other economists' claims regarding the legislation, some have asked whether my statement is well grounded. I think it is, but this should be open to debate.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., flanked by Small Business Administration Administrator Linda McMahon, left, and Sen. Roger Wicker, R-Miss., speaks to a group of small business owners about the GOP tax bill on Capitol Hill in Washington on Nov. 30, 2017 (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite).

AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

Dear Colleagues: You Responded, But We Have More Questions About Your Tax-Cut Analysis

| Nov. 30, 2017

We appreciate that in response to our questions you clarified a number of points in your letter to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and, in particular, that you are backing off the statement in your original letter that “the gain in the long-run level of GDP would be just over 3%, or 0.3% per year for a decade.” As you state in your response to us, “We did not offer claims about the speed of adjustment to a long-run result.”

This Oct. 12, 2017, photo shows an AT&T sign at a store in Miami. The Trump administration is opposing the proposed AT&T-Time Warner merger (AP Photo/Alan Diaz).

AP Photo/Alan Diaz

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

Trump's Version of Capitalism Looks a Lot Like Revenge — and it Endangers Our Democracy

| Nov. 27, 2017

Until last month, there had been fewer cases of deal capitalism than I had feared. But in the last month, policy has taken an ugly turn toward the selective and ad hoc use of government power — not to reward political friends but to punish political adversaries. Government rewards encourage cronyism and rent-seeking and waste public resources. Targeting adversaries may chill dissent and threaten democracy.

In this March 13, 2015 photo, workers weld body panels on the new aluminum-alloy body Ford F-150 truck at the company's Kansas City Assembly Plant in Claycomo, Mo (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel).

AP Photo/Charlie Riedel

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

Productivity Still Matters for Worker Paychecks

| Nov. 17, 2017

Median pay growth has been abysmal over recent decades: It rose only 12 percent between 1973 and 2015 while productivity rose by 73 percent. This stark fact highlighted in Figure 1 has led some to ask the question: Does productivity growth still benefit typical American workers?

President Donald Trump holds an example of what a new tax form may look like during a meeting on tax policy with Republican lawmakers in the Cabinet Room of the White House on Nov. 2, 2017 (AP Photo/Evan Vucci).

AP Photo/Evan Vucci

Analysis & Opinions - Financial Times

A Republican Tax Plan That Will Help the Rich and Harm Growth

| Nov. 05, 2017
Unfortunately, the proposal from Republicans in the House of Representatives on offer now may well retard growth, reward the wealthy, add complexity to the tax code and cheat the future even as it raises burdens on the middle class and poor. There are three aspects of the proposal that I find almost inexplicable, except with reference to the power of entrenched interests.
 

House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady, R-Texas, whose panel is charged with writing tax law, pauses for reporters just after the House gave a significant boost to President Donald Trump's promise to cut taxes on Thursday, October 26, 2017. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

Lawrence Summers: What I do Support in a New Tax Plan

| Oct. 25, 2017

I have been very sharply critical of what I regard as unprofessional exaggeration by advocates of the Trump tax proposal. Reasonably enough, people have asked what I am for.

I strongly support tax reform in general and especially corporate tax reform on the model of the highly successful bipartisan 1986 tax reform, which achieved very large rate reductions, spurred economic growth and improved the efficiency of the economy while being revenue- and distribution-neutral.

In this Dec. 6, 2012, file photo, Kevin Hassett, then a senior fellow and director of Economic Policy at the American Enterprise Institute, testifies on Capitol Hill before a Joint Economic Committee hearing. (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci, File)

AP Photo/ Evan Vucci, File

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

One Last Time on Who Benefits From Corporate Tax Cuts

| Oct. 22, 2017

recently asserted that Kevin Hassett deserved a failing grade for his “analysis” projecting that the Trump administration proposal to reduce the corporate tax rate from 35 to 20 percent would raise the wages of an average American family between $4,000 to $9,000. I chose harsh language because Hassett had, for what seemed like political reasons, impugned the integrity of people like Len Burman and Gene Steuerle who have devoted their lives to honest rigorous evaluation of tax measures by calling their work “scientifically indefensible” and “fiction.” Since there have been a variety of comments on the economics of corporate tax reduction, some further discussion seems warranted.