Analysis & Opinions - Foreign Affairs
The Bad Advice Plaguing Beijing’s Foreign Policy
The incursion in January of a Chinese spy balloon into U.S. airspace seemed to many observers like a bad miscalculation by Beijing. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken had been scheduled to travel to China the following month, but the balloon incident led to the scrapping of the much-anticipated visit. Chinese leader Xi Jinping almost certainly would have preferred to see diplomacy proceed as planned. It is likely that he would not have sanctioned this operation had he known its consequences. If he believed that the United States would simply overlook the incursion, he was clearly mistaken.
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For Academic Citation:
Tyler Jost, "The Bad Advice Plaguing Beijing’s Foreign Policy," Foreign Affairs, April 27, 2023, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/bad-advice-plaguing-beijings-foreign-policy.
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The incursion in January of a Chinese spy balloon into U.S. airspace seemed to many observers like a bad miscalculation by Beijing. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken had been scheduled to travel to China the following month, but the balloon incident led to the scrapping of the much-anticipated visit. Chinese leader Xi Jinping almost certainly would have preferred to see diplomacy proceed as planned. It is likely that he would not have sanctioned this operation had he known its consequences. If he believed that the United States would simply overlook the incursion, he was clearly mistaken.
Want to Read More?
The full text of this publication is available via Foreign Affairs.Tyler Jost, "The Bad Advice Plaguing Beijing’s Foreign Policy," Foreign Affairs, April 27, 2023, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/bad-advice-plaguing-beijings-foreign-policy.
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The Institutional Origins of Miscalculation in China’s International Crises
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Analysis & Opinions - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School
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