Research

Menzie Chinn, Prof. of Economics at University of Wisconsin, is guest posting this week: I want to thank Jeff Frankel for the opportunity to be a guest writer on his blog. A lot of attention has been devoted to how oil price and food price shocks have affected the US economy, both along the output and price dimensions. A general presumption has been that as long as inflation expectations remain well anchored, then one need not worry about 1970’s style stagflation (recession is another matter). However, there are many places in the world where inflation expectations are not well anchored.