Analysis & Opinions

8827 Items

Analysis & Opinions - Project Syndicate

Europe’s Carbon Border Tax Advances the Fight Against Climate Change

| May 24, 2024

At first glance, the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism may look like a potential source of international discord. But a closer look suggests that the EU’s strict carbon-pricing regime may be the best chance the world has to achieve the Paris climate agreement’s ambitious emissions-reduction goals.

Intersecting black lines form the shape of a human eye.

Adobe Stock/AntonKhrupinArt

Analysis & Opinions - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School

Seeing Like a Data Structure

| May 23, 2024

Our data-centric way of seeing the world isn't serving us well. Barath Raghavan and Bruce Schneier argue that we need new socio-technical systems that leave room for the inherent messiness of reality.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, right, Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry, left, and Jordanian Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi attend a press conference in Amman, Jordan, Nov. 4, 2023.

Jonathan Ernst/Pool via AP

Analysis & Opinions - The Washington Post

The Day-After Peace in Gaza Will be Fragile. Here’s How to Make it Work.

| May 22, 2024

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is facing increased pressure to agree to a hostage and cease-fire deal, including from close allies like President Biden, Benny Gantz and Yoav Gallant. But key to any long-term cease-fire is the question of who will police the Gaza Strip the next day. In some ways, it is easier to imagine a “day after the day after.” It entails a reformed, legitimate Palestinian Authority that takes control of both the West Bank and Gaza and engages in serious negotiations for a two-state solution. But how to get there? How will the transition between a cease-fire and the establishment of a revitalized Palestinian Authority be managed in Gaza?

This photo released by the Russian Defense Ministry Press Service Saturday, April 20, 2024, shows an unmanned aerial vehicle drop a dummy bomb during its flight as Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu visits the training ground of the Moscow Military District.

(Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via AP)

Analysis & Opinions - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School

AI Agents in Diplomacy – Promoting Stability or Chaos?

| May 22, 2024

In the current race for AI supremacy, the focus has been on development and deployment across military and economic domains. What will the world look like if AGI agents introduce new incentives for novel decision making? It may generate a cautious, calculated landscape of predictable actions or it may open the door to chaos, characterized by unpredictable, high stakes actions meant to throw the algorithm and the adversary off balance. Considering these issues now provides us an opportunity to think through the consequences and guide policies and practices meant to develop steady international relations in the future. 

A portrait of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi is placed at a makeshift memorial

AP/Alexander Zemlianichenko

Analysis & Opinions - Emissary

The Iran-Russia Friendship Won't Wither Under Raisi's Successor

| May 21, 2024

Nicole Grajewski describes former Iranian President Raisi’s hardline stance and his willingness to deepen ties with Russia as assets. Collaboration with a like-minded authoritarian with a bent for confronting the West proved particularly valuable after Russia invaded Ukraine.