Belfer Center Regions https://www.belfercenter.org/rss/topic/862/feed en It’s Time for Trump and Kim to Make a Deal https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/its-time-trump-and-kim-make-deal <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 19, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18164146310559.jpg?itok=5t1eNC5-" width="200" height="120" alt="In this June. 12, 2018, file photo, U.S. President Donald Trump meets with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un on Sentosa Island, in Singapore. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>resident Trump boasted last weekend that his “denuclearization deal” with Kim Jong Un could “save potentially millions &amp; millions of lives!” He even proclaimed in the exhilaration of his return from Singapore : “There is no longer a Nuclear Threat from North Korea."</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/its-time-trump-and-kim-make-deal “I Don’t Expect Bolton to Last Much Longer”: How Mike Pompeo Won the Trump-Kim Summit https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/i-dont-expect-bolton-last-much-longer-how-mike-pompeo-won-trump-kim-summit <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 18, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/pompeo.jpg?itok=Vfvz4NL4" width="200" height="120" alt="U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo addresses the press at the White House Filing Center in Singapore on June 11, 2018. " typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>After the crucible of the Trump-Kim summit, it seems clear that Pompeo has been elevated, and Bolton diminished, by the president’s sudden love affair with Pyongyang.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/i-dont-expect-bolton-last-much-longer-how-mike-pompeo-won-trump-kim-summit Grading the Singapore Summit: Compared to What? https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/grading-singapore-summit-compared-what <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 15, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18163513623653.jpg?itok=SL4oD0mi" width="200" height="120" alt="Trump and Kim at summit " typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>In the hyperpolarized state of American politics and policy debate, both critics and supporters of the Trump administration have become so predictable that they are now background noise. If required to summarize my assessment of the Trump-Kim summit in one line, it would be: oversold and undervalued. Despite their best efforts, his critics haven’t come close to matching Trump’s preposterous claim that “There is no longer a Nuclear Threat from North Korea.”</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/grading-singapore-summit-compared-what Never Call Kim Jong Un Crazy Again https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/never-call-kim-jong-un-crazy-again <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 14, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/kim-jong-un-red-carpet-return.jpg?itok=FzRKsasV" width="200" height="120" alt="Kim Jong Un waves to hundreds of well-wishers as he returns to North Korea" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>Stephen Walt outlines why treating foes as inherently irrational has real costs, such as making preventive war seem like a more attractive option than either diplomacy or deterrence.</p> <p> </p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/never-call-kim-jong-un-crazy-again From Pyongyang to Tehran, Jerusalem and Back https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/pyongyang-tehran-jerusalem-and-back <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 14, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/kim_and_trump_walking_to_the_summit_room_during_the_dprk%E2%80%93usa_singapore_summit.png?itok=ioNOL3QU" width="200" height="120" alt="Kim and Trump walking to the summit room" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>Chuck Freilich provides an analysis of the recent Kim-Trump summit in Singapore that includes implications for Israel.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/pyongyang-tehran-jerusalem-and-back Donald Trump, Kim Jong Un summit was Bluster and Balloons https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/donald-trump-kim-jong-un-summit-was-bluster-and-balloons <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 13, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18163115834953.jpg?itok=N8L82r3X" width="200" height="120" alt="President Donald Trump meets with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un on Sentosa Island, June 12, 2018, in Singapore. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>At his Singapore meeting with Kim Jong Un, Donald Trump gave away important U.S. bargaining chips, used North Korea's talking points and blindsided South Korea.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/donald-trump-kim-jong-un-summit-was-bluster-and-balloons Kim Got What He Wanted in Singapore. Trump Didn’t. https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/kim-got-what-he-wanted-singapore-trump-didnt <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 13, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18163056517980.jpg?itok=1KPYLAW2" width="200" height="120" alt="U. S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with North Korea leader Kim Jong Un at the Capella resort on Sentosa Island, June 12, 2018 in Singapore. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>Whether or not the United Nations Security Council takes such action is irrelevant, because Beijing controls the trade flows to North Korea and will now likely ramp them up again.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/kim-got-what-he-wanted-singapore-trump-didnt North Korea Progress Should Be Measured In Years, Not Days https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/north-korea-progress-should-be-measured-years-not-days <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 12, 2018</time> <p>Nicholas Burns, Harvard Kennedy School professor and former undersecretary of State for military affairs, dicusses his take on President Trump’s summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/north-korea-progress-should-be-measured-years-not-days Belfer Center Experts Offer Insight on Trump-Kim Summit https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/belfer-center-experts-offer-insight-trump-kim-summit <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 12, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18163043466325_0.jpg?itok=kHzTnox8" width="200" height="120" alt="U.S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with North Korea leader Kim Jong Un at the Capella resort on Sentosa Island Tuesday, June 12, 2018 in Singapore. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>Belfer Center experts offer insight and analysis of the Trump-Kim summit through statements and interviews.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/belfer-center-experts-offer-insight-trump-kim-summit Vague on Details, Trump Is Betting on ‘Special Bond’ With Kim to Deliver Deal https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/vague-details-trump-betting-special-bond-kim-deliver-deal <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 12, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18163094860489.jpg?itok=JGM0moFi" width="200" height="120" alt="President Donald Trump meets with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un on Sentosa Island, Tuesday, June 12, 2018, in Singapore. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>On paper, there is nothing President Trump extracted from North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, in their <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/11/world/asia/trump-kim-summitmeeting.html" target="_blank" title="">summit meeting</a> that Mr. Kim’s father and grandfather had not already given to past American presidents.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/vague-details-trump-betting-special-bond-kim-deliver-deal For All His Deals, Trump Has Never Faced an Adversary Like Kim Jong-un https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/all-his-deals-trump-has-never-faced-adversary-kim-jong-un <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 11, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18163220147439.jpg?itok=mISogvRD" width="200" height="120" alt="North Korea leader Kim Jong Un and U.S. President Donald Trump shake hands at the conclusion of their meetings at the Capella resort on Sentosa Island June 12, 2018 in Singapore. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh, Pool)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>President Trump has imagined himself at the center of high-stakes nuclear negotiations since at least the mid-1980s, when he tried, unsuccessfully, to persuade the Reagan administration that it needed a New York real estate deal maker to lead arms-control talks with the Soviet Union.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/all-his-deals-trump-has-never-faced-adversary-kim-jong-un The Nine Steps Required to Really Disarm North Korea https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/nine-steps-required-really-disarm-north-korea <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 11, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_478349126419.jpg?itok=HvYvaT82" width="200" height="120" alt="North Korean People&#039;s Army Lt. Col. Nam Dong Ho points to a map showing the line which separates the two Koreas in Panmunjom at the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ), February 22, 2016, in Panmunjom, North Korea. (AP Photo/Wong Maye-E)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>The vast scope of North Korea’s atomic program means ending it would be the most challenging case of nuclear disarmament in history. Here’s what has to be done to achieve — and verify — the removal of the nuclear arms, the dismantlement of the atomic complex and the elimination of the North’s other weapons of mass destruction.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/nine-steps-required-really-disarm-north-korea A Bettor’s Guide to the Trump-Kim Summit https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/bettors-guide-trump-kim-summit <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 10, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18162186324648.jpg?itok=aXuD-jmB" width="200" height="120" alt="President Donald Trump shakes hands as he meets with Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong on Monday, June 11, 2018, in Singapore. Trump is scheduled to attend a summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un on June 12, 2018. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>On Monday night at 9 p.m. Eastern—9 a.m. Tuesday morning in Singapore—Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un will finally meet face to face. The daily swirl of insults and compliments as these two adversaries circle each other before the summit is dizzying. If this were a heavyweight boxing match, we’d need a bettor’s guide before wagering on the outcome.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/bettors-guide-trump-kim-summit Bullies Don't Win at Diplomacy https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/bullies-dont-win-diplomacy <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 8, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/trump-g7-canadian-flag.jpg?itok=hTybiPU3" width="200" height="120" alt="Donald Trump" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>Stephen Walt critiques Donald Trump's approach to foreign policy.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/bullies-dont-win-diplomacy Could North Korea Become the Next Singapore? https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/could-north-korea-become-next-singapore <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 8, 2018</time> <p>Did President Trump choose Singapore as the site for next Tuesday’s summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un by accident? No way. One of Trump’s wildest cards in his unorthodox path to this meeting with Kim Jong Un is his vision of a prosperous North Korea.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/could-north-korea-become-next-singapore Trump’s Trade War Has a Bright Side for Canada https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/trumps-trade-war-has-bright-side-canada <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 8, 2018</time> <p>Last week was a trying one for Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. You may think that I am referring to the imposition of U.S. <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2018/05/31/news/economy/united-states-steel-aluminum-tariffs/index.html" target="_blank">tariffs</a> on imports of Canadian steel. But Trudeau actually faced a harder issue than the one about how to respond to President Donald Trump’s declaration that trade with Canada posed a <a href="https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/trudeau-says-u-s-steel-tariffs-on-national-security-grounds-are-insulting-1.3957195" target="_blank">threat to U.S. security</a>.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/trumps-trade-war-has-bright-side-canada How to Tell If the North Korea Talks Are a Success https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/how-tell-if-north-korea-talks-are-success <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 7, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_18138260756484.jpg?itok=HgY0Nsm-" width="200" height="120" alt="In this combination of file photos, U.S. President Donald Trump, left, in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington on May 16, 2018, and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in a meeting with South Korean leader Moon Jae-in in Panmunjom, South Korea, on April 27, 2018. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, Korea Summit Press Pool via AP, File)" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>While President Donald Trump prepares for his planned June 12 summit with Kim Jong Un, questions abound about the historic talks. When it comes to North Korea’s nuclear program, what is really on the table? What’s the United States willing to give up in return? And, most crucially, what would a successful deal with North Korea look like?</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/how-tell-if-north-korea-talks-are-success Changing Carbon Content of Chinese Coal and Implications for Emissions of CO2 https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/changing-carbon-content-chinese-coal-and-implications-emissions-co2 <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 6, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/chinese-coal-power_opt.jpg?itok=7iONH_Z2" width="200" height="120" alt="A Chinese power plant. " typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>The changing carbon content of coal consumed in China between 2002 and 2012 is quantified using information from the power sector. The carbon content decreased by 7.7% over this interval, the decrease particularly pronounced between 2007 and 2009. Inferences with respect to the changing carbon content of coal and the oxidation rate for its consumption, combined with the recent information on coal use in China, are employed to evaluate the trend in emissions of CO2. Emissions are estimated to have increased by 158% between 2002 and 2012, from 3.9 Gt y-1 to 9.2 Gt y-1.</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/changing-carbon-content-chinese-coal-and-implications-emissions-co2 Present at the Destruction https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/present-destruction <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 6, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/trump.jpg?itok=OfrmUUtH" width="200" height="120" alt="President Trump hand out" typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>Observing the US' global role under President Donald Trump, one is inclined to describe being in this era as "present at the destruction."</p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/present-destruction Kim Jong Un Is a God in North Korea https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/kim-jong-un-god-north-korea <time datetime="00Z" class="datetime">Jun 1, 2018</time> <img src="/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/images/publication/feature/AP_11060802948.jpg?itok=JDgzaulW" width="200" height="120" alt="a South Korean army K-1 tank during a South Korea and U.S. joint military exercise against possible North Korean attacks in Paju, near the demilitarized zone on Wednesday, June 8, 2011.  on Wednesday, June 8, 2011." typeof="Image" class="image-style-thumbnail" /> <p>Lt. Gen. Clapper (ret.) James Clapper discusses his experiences in Korea, and how to change the narrative on the peninsula. </p> Belfer Center https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/kim-jong-un-god-north-korea