Co-Sponsored by Dr. Jennifer Lerner Professor of Public Policy and Management
Dr. Steven Rieber, program manager for Aggregative Contingent Estimation (ACE) program at the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), will address “Judgment and Forecasting for Intelligence Purposes,” in room L280 from 2:40 pm to 4:00 pm, Monday, November 3rd.
Dr. Rieber came to IARPA from the Analytic Integrity and Standards (AIS) Group within the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), where he led efforts to improve analytic tools, training, and metrics. At AIS, he developed Analysis 101 (the Intelligence Community’s first joint training course for new analysts) and led the development of a standardized test for critical thinking in intelligence analysis. As manager of the ACE, Dr. Rieber seeks to dramatically enhance the accuracy, precision and timeliness of intelligence forecasts for a broad range of events through the development of techniques that elicit, weight, and combine the judgments of many intelligence analysts. IARPA sponsors high-risk, high-payoff research to develop new capabilities for the US Intelligence Community.
Dr. Rieber received his Ph.D. in philosophy from Princeton University. He was a professor at Georgia State University before coming to the Intelligence Community, where he served as a scholar-in-residence at CIA’s Kent School for Intelligence Analysis prior to joining ODNI. His research interests are forecasting, critical thinking, and human judgment.
Attendance is limited so RSVP to Jamie Georgia, Faculty Assistant to Professor Jennifer Lerner: Jamie_georgia@hks.harvard.edu
