The overarching question imparting urgency to this exploration is: Can U.S.-Russian contention in cyberspace cause the two nuclear superpowers to stumble into war? In considering this question we were constantly reminded of recent comments by a prominent U.S. arms control expert: At least as dangerous as the risk of an actual cyberattack, he observed, is cyber operations’ “blurring of the line between peace and war.” Or, as Nye wrote, “in the cyber realm, the difference between a weapon and a non-weapon may come down to a single line of code, or simply the intent of a computer program’s user.”
A recording of this seminar can be viewed here.
Recent experimental survey work investigating the strength of the nuclear taboo has led to questions about whether this normative prohibition still reduces the likelihood of nuclear use. In this presentation, Maria Rost Rublee discusses how the logic of affect shapes nuclear use decisions, and why limitations in experimental survey research—particularly if that research does not incorporate the logic of affect—may provide results that are unlikely to reflect real-world opinions about nuclear use.