The overarching question imparting urgency to this exploration is: Can U.S.-Russian contention in cyberspace cause the two nuclear superpowers to stumble into war? In considering this question we were constantly reminded of recent comments by a prominent U.S. arms control expert: At least as dangerous as the risk of an actual cyberattack, he observed, is cyber operations’ “blurring of the line between peace and war.” Or, as Nye wrote, “in the cyber realm, the difference between a weapon and a non-weapon may come down to a single line of code, or simply the intent of a computer program’s user.”
The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs will host a seminar with Bill Hayton, in the Belfer Center Library (L369). Kevin Rudd, Belfer Center Senior Fellow and former Prime Minister of Australia, will host.
How long can the United States remain a “resident power in Asia” in the face of China’s rise? And are the countries of Southeast Asia destined to become satellite states of Beijing? It has become increasingly fashionable to assume that China will inevitably eject the United States from Asia―starting with the South China Sea. But how plausible is this narrative? Bill Hayton is skeptical, but argues that, if such a narrative takes hold, it could become a self-fulfilling prophecy: the US and Southeast Asia would “lose without fighting.”
Bill Hayton is the author of The South China Sea: the struggle for power in Asia, being published by Yale University Press in October, 2014. His previous book Vietnam: rising dragon was published by Yale University Press in 2010. He has worked for the BBC since 1998, including as the BBC’s reporter in Vietnam from 2006 to 2007, and currently works for BBC World TV in London. Most recently, he spent 2013 in Myanmar working on media reform while embedded with the state broadcasting service. He has written about Southeast Asia for numerous publications, including The New York Times, Financial Times, Foreign Policy, National Interest and The Diplomat.
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