Some civil wars are marked by a surprising confluence of decisions on the part of the participants: the belligerents continue to fight but at low levels of intensity, while foreign states continue to support them in this dead-end endeavor.  What distinguishes these quagmires from other civil wars?

This seminar will study the channels through which the simultaneous interplay of three sets of interactions — between the warring parties, between each warring party and foreign backers, and the international rivalry between these backers — structures decision-making and thereby the likelihood of a quagmire. Episodes from the Lebanese civil war, 1975–1990, illustrate the theoretical mechanisms in action.

Please join us! Coffee and tea provided. Everyone is welcome, but admittance will be on a first come–first served basis.

Co-sponsored by the Middle East Initiative