International Security

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from International Security

The Case for Campaign Analysis: A Method for Studying Military Operations

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Military exercise 'October Storm': Soviet soldiers march forward protected by T-54 tanks on the second day of the exercise of the Warsaw Pact member Staates, October 22, 1965 simulating an attack in the Thuringian Forest in the German Democratic Republic (East Germany).
Military exercise 'October Storm': Soviet soldiers march forward protected by T-54 tanks on the second day of the exercise of the Warsaw Pact member Staates, October 22, 1965 simulating an attack in the Thuringian Forest in the German Democratic Republic (East Germany).

Summary

Despite extensive use by security studies scholars, the campaign analysis method has not been formally defined or standardized. Campaign analysis is a method involving the use of a model and techniques for managing uncertainty to answer questions about military operations, and consists of six steps: question selection, scenario development, model construction, value assignment, sensitivity analysis, and presentation of results. The models that scholars develop to direct analysis are significant intellectual contributions and can be adapted by other scholars and practitioners to guide additional analyses.

Recommended citation

Rachel Tecott and Andrew Halterman, "The Case for Campaign Analysis: A Method for Studying Military Operations," International Security, Vol. 45, No. 4 (Spring 2021), pp. 44–83, doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00408.

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