Reports & Papers
from
BCSIA
Succession and Long-term Stability in the Caspian Region 1999
Executive Memorandum by Peter Rutland
Session One: The Challenge of Political Succession
Fred Starr (Chair), Martha Brill Olcott, Thomas Goltz, and Cory Welt
"Travails of the Caspian Region: Five Perspectives" by Frederick Starr
"Provisions for Succession in the Caspian Region" by Martha Brill Olcott
"The Question of Succession in Azerbaijan: Is The Aliyev Era (Almost) Over?" by Thomas Goltz
"After Shevardnadze: It's Anyone's Game" by Cory Welt
Session Two: Human Rights and the Rule of Law
Ariel Cohen (Chair), Maureen Greenwood, and Scott Horton
"The Rule of Law in the Caspian Region: Geopolitical Context and US Interests" by Ariel Cohen
"Long Term US Interests Converge around the Rule Of Law And Human Rights" by Maureen Greenwood
"Law Reform in Azerbaijan: Snapshot in a Time of Transition" by Scott Horton
Session Three: Energy and Economic Development
Robert Ebel (Chair), Julia Nanay, and Chris Kushlis
"Energy Development and Sustainable Economic and Political Development in the Caspian Region" by Robert E. Ebel
"Assessing Global Demand and Future Export Markets for Caspian Oil and Gas" by Julia Nanay
"An Economic Overview of the Caspian Region" by Chris Kushlis and Ben Slay
Session Four: The Debate over US Policy
Roy Allison (Chair), Michael Lelyveld, Laurent Ruseckas, Anthony Richter, Nancy Lubin, and Robert Blackwill
"Caspian Gridlock: Failures of Policy and the Press" by Michael Lelyveld
"US Policy and Caspian Pipeline Politics: The Two Faces of Baku-Ceyhan" by Laurent Ruseckas
"Great Expectations on the Caspian: Can US Policy Live up to Them?" by Anthony Richter
"US Assistance Challenges in Central Asia" by Nancy Lubin
Session Five: Regional Actors and Influences
Fiona Hill (Chair), Dov Lynch, Ian Bremmer, Brenda Shaffer, and Douglas Blum
"Russian Military Engagement in the Caspian Region" by Dov Lynch
"The US, Turkey, and the Future of the Caspian" by Ian Bremmer
"Islam, Iran, and Prospects for Stability in the Caspian Region" by Brenda Shaffer
"Globalization and the Caspian Region" by Douglas W. Blum