Journal Article - Quarterly Journal: International Security

PRC Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Measuring Continuity and Change, 1970–2015

    Author:
  • Andrew Chubb
| Winter 2020/21

Summary

A new typology of “assertive” state behaviors in maritime and territorial disputes, and original time-series events data covering the period from 1970 to 2015, shows that China’s key policy change in the South China Sea—rapid administrative buildup and introduction of regular coercive behaviors—occurred in 2007, earlier than most analysis has supposed. This policy change was a lagged effect of decisions taken in the 1990s to build specific capabilities designed to realize strategic objectives that emerged in the 1970s.

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For Academic Citation:

Andrew Chubb, "PRC Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Measuring Continuity and Change, 1970–2015," International Security, Vol. 45, No. 3 (Winter 2020/21), pp. 79-121, doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00400.

The Author

Andrew Chubb

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