To compete and thrive in the 21st century, democracies, and the United States in particular, must develop new national security and economic strategies that address the geopolitics of information. In the 20th century, market capitalist democracies geared infrastructure, energy, trade, and even social policy to protect and advance that era’s key source of power—manufacturing. In this century, democracies must better account for information geopolitics across all dimensions of domestic policy and national strategy.
Does greater certainty about an opponent's military and political characteristics cause conflict or peace? This seminar offers a theory of (1) when presidents and advisors are most likely to make estimation errors that result in misplaced certainty and (2) how such errors are a cause of conflict. Evidence is drawn from prominent cases in U.S. foreign policy.
Please join us! Coffee and tea provided. Everyone is welcome, but admittance will be on a first come–first served basis.