Will China overtake the United States as the world's number one power? Most analysts believe the United States is doomed to decline because of globalization—the integration of national economies and the diffusion of technology from developed to developing countries—and the hegemonic burdens the United States bears to support globalization. This study challenges the conventional wisdom by showing that America's dominant position is durable and that globalization and hegemony are the main reasons why.

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The paper that this presentation is based on may be downloaded here: http://michaelbeckleydotcom.files.wordpress.com/2011/09/beckley_writing-sample6.pdf