Reports & Papers

BCSIA Annual Report, 1999-2000: BCSIA Pubs

BCSIA: 1999-2000 ANNUAL REPORT
9. BCSIA Pubs



Graham T. Allison, "ABCs of ABM and Missile Defense." The Christian Science Monitor, sec. Op-Ed Page (31 May 2000).

Graham T. Allison, "Could the US and Russia Wind up at War?" The Boston Globe, sec. Op-Ed Page (25 April 1999): C7.

Graham T. Allison, "The ''Democratic Presumption'' is Taking Hold in Russia." The Boston Globe, sec. Op-Ed Page (21 December 1999): A31.

Graham T. Allison, "Nuclear Lessons." The Boston Globe, sec. Op-Ed Page (27 October 1999).

Graham T. Allison, "''Russia Votes'' Symposium: Graham Allison on Russian Elections." 29 November 1999.

Graham T. Allison, "Star Wars and the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty: Is the United States Provoking a New Arms Race?" Remarks delivered to the International Press Institute World Congress, Boston, MA. 3 May 2000.

Graham T. Allison and Philip Zelikow. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis, 2nd ed. Reading, MA: Longman, 1999.

BCSIA (Diane McCree, ed.). "BCSIA Annual Report, 1998-1999." BCSIA, 1999.

Environment And Natural Resources ProgramENRP Discussion Papers

Frank Biermann, "Big Science, Small Impacts -- in the South? The Influence of International Environmental Information Institutions on Policy-Making in India." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-12. November 1999.

David Cash, "Distributed Assessment Systems: An Emerging Paradigm of Research, Assessment and Decision-making for Environmental Change." BCSIA Discussion Paper 2000-06. June 2000.

William Dietrich, "Guide to Research Databases of Acid Rain Assessment and Policy Literatures." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-04. September 1999.

Noelle Eckley, "Drawing Lessons About Science-Policy Instruments: Persistent Organic Pollutants (POPs) under the LRTAP Convention." BCSIA Discussion paper 99-11. November 1999.

Charles H.W. Foster, al., "Colloquium on Environmental Regionalism." BCSIA Discussion Paper 2000-09. June 2000.

Charles H.W. Foster and David Foster. "Thinking in Forest Time: A Strategy for The Massachusetts Forest." Harvard Forest Working Paper. 1999.

Alexander Golub, "Russian Forests for Climate Change Mitigation: An Economic Analysis." BCSIA Discussion Paper 2000-04. May 2000.

Aarti Gupta, "Framing ''Biosafety'' in an International Context: The Biosafety Protocol Negotiations." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-10. September 1999.

Henry Lee and Shashi Kant Verma, "Coal or Gas: The Cost of Cleaner Power in the Midwest." BCSIA Discussion Paper 2000-08. June 2000.

Adam Jaffe, Richard Newell and Robert Stavins, "Energy-Efficient Technologies and Climate Change Policies: Issues and Evidence." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-17. December 1999.

Tor Arnt Johnsen, Shashi Kant Verma and Catherine Wolfram. "Zonal Pricing and Demand-Side Bidding in the Norwegian Electricity Market." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-05. September 1999.

Wolfgang Jung, "Expert Advice in Global Environmental Decision Making: How Close Should Science and Policy Get?" BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-14. November 1999.

David L. Levy and Sandra Rothenberg, "Corporate Strategy and Climate Change: Heterogeneity and Change in the Global Automobile Industry." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-13. November1999.

William B. Meyer and Charles H.W. Foster, "New Deal Regionalism: A Critical Review." BCSIA Discussion Paper 2000-02. March 2000.

Newell, Richard and Robert Stavins, "Abatement-Cost Heterogeneity and Anticipated Savings from Market-Based Environmental Policies." BCSIA Discussion Paper 2000-01. February 2000.

Alexander Pfaff and Robert Stavins, "Readings in the Field of Natural Resource and Environmental Economics." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-06. September 1999.

Rapporteur''s Report. "Workshop on Research and Policy Directions for Carbon Management." BCSIA Discussion paper R-99-01. December 1999.

Rothenberg, Sandra and David Levy, "Corporate Responses to Climate Change: The Institutional Dynamics of the Automobile Industry and Climate Change." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-19. December 1999.

Carlos Rufin, Carlos, "Institutional Change in the Electricity Industry: A Comparison of Four Latin American Cases." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-20. December 1999.

Robert Stavins, "Experience with Market-Based Environmental Policy Instruments." BCSIA Discussion Paper 99-18. December 1999.

Other Publications

William Clark. The state of the nation''s ecosystems (chair). [Report of the National Ecosystem Report Project] (Washington, DC: Heinz Center for Science, Economics and the Environment, 1999).

William Clark. Our common voyage: Towards a sustainability transition. (co-chair). [Report of the National Research Council''s Board on Sustainable Development]. (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1999).

William Clark. "Environmental science: Back to the future?" (editorial). Environment 41(4): i. 1999.

William Clark. "Learning to manage hazardous materials" (editorial) Environment 41(9): i (1999)

William Clark. "Earth day at 30" (editorial). Environment 42(3): i (2000)

William Clark (with Nancy M. Dickson). "The Global Environmental Assessment Project: Learning from Efforts to Link Science and Policy in an Interdependent World". Acclimations, No. 8, pp. 6-7 (1999).
Global Environmental Assessment Project

Frank Biermann. "Big Science, Small Impacts -- in the South? The Influence of International Environmental Information Institutions on Policy-making in India". ENRP Discussion Paper E-99-12, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, October 1999.

David W. Cash. "Distributed Assessment Systems: An Emerging Paradigm of Research, Assessment and Decision-making for Environmental Change". ENRP Discussion Paper 2000-06, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, June 2000.

David W. Cash. "Local Response to Global Change: Information and Decision-making Systems for Cross-scale Environmental Risks". Global Environmental Assessment Research Proposal, December 1999.

Clark, William C. and Nancy M. Dickson. "The Global Environmental Assessment Project: Learning from Efforts to Link Science and Policy in an Interdependent World". Acclimations, No. 8, pp. 6-7 (1999).

William F. Dietrich. "Guide to Research Databases of Acid Rain Assessment and Policy Literature". ENRP Discussion Paper E-99-04, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, September 1999.

Noelle Eckley. "Drawing Lessons About Science-Policy Institutions: Persistent Organic Pollutants (POPs) under the LRTAP Convention". ENRP Discussion Paper E-99-11, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, October 1999.

Alex Farrell. "Sustainability and Choice: The EPA''s Sustainable Development Challenge Grant Program". Policy Studies Review, Vol. 16, No. 3, pp. 36-74..

Alex Farrell, Robert Carter, and Roger Raufer. "The NOx Budget: Market-Based Control of Tropospheric Ozone in the Northeastern United States". Resource and Energy Economics, Vol. 21, No. 2 (1999).

Aarti Gupta. "Framing ''Biosafety'' in a Transnational Context: The Biosafety Protocol Negotiations under the Convention on Biological Diversity". ENRP Discussion Paper E-99-10, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, September 1999.

Aarti Gupta. "Governing trade in genetically modified organisms: The Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety," Environment Vol. 42, Iss. 4; pg. 22-33.

David H. Guston, William Clark, Terry Keating, David Cash, Susanne Moser, Clark Miller, and Charles Powers. 2000. "Report of the Workshop on Boundary Organizations in Environmental Policy and Science". Rutgers University, December 9-10, 1999. The Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences Institute at Rutgers University and UMDNJ-RWJMS, and The Global Environmental Assessment Project.

Wolfgang Jung. "Expert Advice in Global Environmental Decision Making: How close should science and policy get?" ENRP Discussion Paper E-99-14, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, November 1999.

M. Kandlikar and A. Sagar. "Climate Change Research and Analysis in India: An Integrated Assessment of a South-North Divide". Global Environmental Change, Vol. 9, No. 2 (1999), pp. 119-138.

Terry J. Keating and Alex Farrell. 1999. Transboundary Environmental Assessment: Lessons from the Ozone Transport Assessment Group. Knoxville, TN: National Center for Environmental Decisionmaking Research. 210 pp.

David L. Levy and Sandra Rothenberg. "Corporate Strategy and Climate Change: Heterogeneity and Change in the Global Automobile Industry". ENRP Discussion Paper E-99-13, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, November 1999.

Anthony Patt. "Extreme outcomes: The strategic treatment of low probability events in scientific assessments". Risk, Decision, and Policy, Vol. 4, No. 1 (1999), pp.1-15.

Anthony Patt. "Separating Analysis from Politics: Acid Rain in Europe". Policy Studies Review, Vol. 16, No. 3/4 (1999).

Sandra Rothenberg and David L. Levy. "Corporate Responses to Climate Change: The Institutional Dynamics of the Automobile Industry and Climate Change". ENRP Discussion Paper E-99-19, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, December 1999.International Security ProgramInternational Security
Volume 24 (Summer 1999-Spring 2000)

David A. Baldwin, "The Sanctions Debate and the Logic of Choice," 24:2 (Winter 1999/2000), pp. 80-107.

Tarak Barkawi and Christopher Dandeker, "Correspondence: Rights and Fights: Sexual Orientation and Military Effectiveness" [re. Kier 23:2], 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 181-186.

Richard K. Betts, "Must War Find a Way? A Review Essay," 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 111-198.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and James D. Morrow, "Sorting Through the Wealth of Notions," 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 56-73.

Daniel L. Byman and Matthew C. Waxman, "Kosovo and the Great Air Power Debate," 24:4 (Spring 2000).

Thomas J. Christensen "Correspondence: Spirals, Security, and Stability in East Asia" [re. Lind], 24:4 (Spring 2000).

Joseph J. Collins, "Correspondence: Civil-Military Relations: How Wide Is the Gap?" [re. Holsti 23:3], 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 199-203.

Neta C. Crawford, "The Passion of World Politics: Propositions on Emotions and Emotional Relationships," 24:4 (Spring 2000).

Michael C. Desch, "Correspondence: Isms and Schisms: Culturalism versus Realism in Security Studies" [reply to Duffield, Farrell, and Price], 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 172-180.

Duffield, John S., "Correspondence: Isms and Schisms: Culturalism versus Realism in Security Studies" [re. Desch 23:1], 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 156-161.

Theo Farrell, "Correspondence: Isms and Schisms: Culturalism versus Realism in Security Studies" [re. Desch 23:1], 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 161-168.

Evan A. Feigenbaum, "Who''s Behind China''s High-Technology ''Revolution''? How Bomb Makers Remade Beijing''s Priorities, Policies, and Institutions," 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 95-126.

Å umit Ganguly, "Correspondence: Debating New Delhi''s Nuclear Decision " [reply to Jones], 24:4 (Spring 2000).

Eugene Gholz and Harvey M. Sapolsky, "Restructuring the U.S. Defense Industry," 24:3 (Winter 1999/2000), pp. 5-51.

Ole R. Holsti, "Correspondence: Civil-Military Relations: How Wide Is the Gap?" [reply to Collins], 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 204-207.

Robert Jervis, "Realism, Neoliberalism, and Cooperation: Understanding the Debate," 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 46-63.

Rodney W. Jones, "Correspondence: Debating New Delhi''s Nuclear Decision" [re. Ganguly 23:4], 24:4 (Spring 2000).

Elizabeth Kier, "Correspondence: Rights and Fights: Sexual Orientation and Military Effectiveness" [reply to Barkawi and Dandeker, and Wells-Petry], 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 194-201.

Charles King and Neil J. Melvin, "Diaspora Politics: Ethnic Linkages, Foreign Policy, and Security in Eurasia," 24:3 (Winter 1999/2000), pp. 108-138.

Jeffrey W. Legro and Andrew Moravcsik, "Is Anybody Still a Realist?" 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 5-55.

John Wilson Lewis and Xue Litai, "China''s Search for a Modern Air Force," 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 64-94.

Jennifer M. Lind, "Correspondence: Spirals, Security, and Stability in East Asia" [re. Christensen 23:4], 24:4 (Spring 2000).

Lisa L. Martin, "The Contributions of Rational Choice: A Defense of Pluralism," 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 74-83.

Emerson M. S. Niou and Peter C. Ordeshook, "Return of the Luddites," 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 84-96.

Douglas Porch, "Military ''Culture'' and the Fall of France in 1940: A Review Essay," 24:4 (Spring 2000).

Barry R. Posen, "The War for Kosovo: Serbia''s Political-Military Strategy," 24:4 (Spring 2000).

Robert Powell, "The Modeling Enterprise and Security Studies," 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 97-106.

Richard Price, "Correspondence: Isms and Schisms: Culturalism versus Realism in Security Studies" [re. Desch 23:1], 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 169-172.

James T. Quinlivan, "Coup-proofing: Its Practice and Consequences in the Middle East," 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 131-165.

Scott D. Sagan, "The Commitment Trap: Why the United States Should Not Use Nuclear Threats to Deter Biological and Chemical Weapons," 24:4 (Spring 2000).

David Shambaugh, "China''s Military Views the World: Ambivalent Security," 24:3 (Winter 1999/2000), pp. 52-79.

Ronald Grigor Suny, "Provisional Stabilities: The Politics of Identities in Post-Soviet Eurasia," 24:3 (Winter 1999/2000), pp. 139-178.

Stephen M. Walt, "A Model Disagreement," 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 115-130.

Barbara F. Walter, "Designing Transitions from Civil War: Demobilization, Democratization, and Commitments to Peace," 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 127-155.

Melissa Wells-Petry, "Correspondence: Rights and Fights: Sexual Orientation and Military Effectiveness" [re. Kier 23:2], 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 186-194.

William C. Wohlforth, "The Stability of a Unipolar World," 24:1 (Summer 1999), pp. 5-41.

Frank C. Zagare, "All Mortis, No Rigor," 24:2 (Fall 1999), pp. 107-114.

BCSIA Studies In International Security

Andrew Bennett, Condemned to Repetition? The Rise and Fall of Soviet-Russian Military Interventionism, 1973-1997 (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1999)

Shlomo Brom and Yiftah Shapir, eds., The Middle East Military Balance, 1999-2000 (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 2000)

Joshua Lederberg, ed., Biological Weapons: Limiting the Threat (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1999)

Sean M. Lynn-Jones, with Christopher Layne, Should America Spread Democracy? A Debate (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, forthcoming 2001)
International Security Readers

Rational Choice and Security Studies: Stephen Walt and His Critics: An International Security Reader. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 2000 (co-edited with Michael E. Brown, Owen R. Cote, Jr., and Steven E. Miller).

America''s Strategic Choices: An International Security Reader, revised editon. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 2000 (co-edited with Michael E. Brown, Owen R. Cote, Jr., and Steven E. Miller).
International Security Discussion Papers
Laura Donohue, "Civil Liberties, Terrorism, and Liberal Democracy: Lessons from the United Kingdom," (No. 2000-05)

Richard Grant, "Power and Prosperity: Challenges and Opportunities for Small States" (No. 99-03)

Markus Fischer, "The Liberal Peace: Ethical, Historical, and Philosophical Aspects," (No. 2000-070)

Sergei Konoplyov, "Analytical Centers in Ukraine," (No. 99-08)Books And Reports
Ashton B. Carter and William J. Perry, Preventive Defense: A New Security Strategy for America (Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press, 1999)

Colin Elman and Miriam Fendius Elman, eds., International History and Politics: Bridges and Boundaries (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, forthcoming 1999)

Marcus Fischer, Well-Ordered License: On the Unity of Machiavelli''s Thought (Lexington Books),2000

Peter Grose, OPERATION ROLLBACK (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, forthcoming 1999)

Sean M. Lynn-Jones, "Realism and Security Studies," in Craig Snyder, ed., Contemporary Security Studies (London: Macmillan, forthcoming 1999)

Sean M. Lynn-Jones, with Christopher Layne, Should America Spread Democracy? A Debate (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, forthcoming 1999)

Jessica Eve Stern, The Ultimate Terrorists (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1999)

Articles, Book Chapters, And Reviews
Samina Ahmed, "Dangerous Games," Newsline, June 1999, pp. 32-33

Samina Ahmed, "Diplomatic Fiasco," Newsline, July 1999, pp. 37-38

Samina Ahmed, "Pakistan''s Nuclear Weapons Program: Moving Forward or Tactical Retreat?" in Å umit Ganguly, ed., Testing Times: India, Pakistan, China, and the United States after May 1998 (Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Littlefield, forthcoming 1999)

Samina Ahmed, "Security Dilemmas of a Nuclear Pakistan," in Devesh Kapur, ed., South Asia''s Nuclear Dilemma (Cambridge, Mass.: Weatherhead Center for International Affairs, forthcoming 1999)

Ivan Arreguin-Toft, "David vs. Goliath: Strategic Interaction In Unexpected Conflict Outcomes," currently under ''revise and resubmit'' at International Security (July 1999).

Ivan Arreguin-Toft "Stability and Justice for All: The Dilemma of International Intervention in Civil Wars," with Monica Duffy Toft. Paper presented at the annual convention of the American Political Science Association, September, 1999; and currently under review at Survival.

Ashton B. Carter, "Countering Proliferation" testimony to the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, 106th Congress, 2nd Session, March 30, 2000.

Ashton B. Carter, "The Perils of Complacency: Adapting U.S. Defense to Future Needs" testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities. Hearing Report is forthcoming. March 21, 2000.Ashton B. Carter, "Adapting US Defence to Future Needs" in Survival, volume 41, No. 4 (Winter 1999-2000), pp. 101-123.

Ashton B. Carter, "Beyond the Counterproliferation Initiative to a ''Revolution in Counterproliferation Affairs''" with L. Celeste Johnson, in National Security Studies Quarterly, Summer 1999, Volume V, No. 3, pp. 88-90.

Ashton B. Carter, "Defining NATO''s Purpose" with William J. Perry, and Hilary D. Driscoll, in NATO at Fifty: Perspectives on the Future of the Atlantic Alliance, Susan Eisenhower, ed., The Center for Political and Strategic Studies, Washington, DC, 1999. Michael E. Brown, Editor
Richard A. Falkenrath, "Weapons of Mass Reaction: Rogue States and Weapons of Mass Destruction," Harvard International Review, Summer 2000.

Evan Feigenbaum, "Who''s Behind China''s High-Technology ''Revolution'': How Bomb-Makers Remade Beijing''s Priorities, Policies, and Institutions," International Security, Vol. 24, No. 1, Summer 1999, pp. 95-126.

Evan Feigenbaum, "China''s Military Posture and the New Economic Geopolitics," Survival, Vol.41, No. 2, Summer 1999, pp. 71-88.

Evan Feigenbaum, "Soldiers, Weapons, and Chinese Development Strategy: The Mao Era Military in China''s Economic and Institutional Debate," The China Quarterly, No. 158, June 1999, pp. 285-313 (lead article).

Evan Feigenbaum, "Economics, Security, and Asian Stability After the Crash," in Paul Stares, ed. New Dimensions of China-Japan-U.S. Relations (1999, New York and Tokyo: Japan Center for International Exchange and Brookings Institution Press).

Evan Feigenbaum, "China Gags the Web and Stifles its Own High-Tech Ambitions," International Herald Tribune, February 5, 2000, p. 6.

Evan A. Feigenbaum, "Patterns of Chinese Policies on Technology Transfer," Journal of American-East Asian Relations, forthcoming.

Evan A. Feigenbaum, "Violence and Great Power Coordination in Asia," in David M. Lampton, ed. Major Power Relations in Northeast Asia: Win-Win or Zero-Sum Game? (Tokyo and New York: Japan Center for International Exchange and Brookings Institution Press, 2000).

Evan A. Feigenbaum, "China''s Challenge to Pax Americana," The Washington Quarterly, forthcoming.
Evan A. Feigenbaum, "Patterns of Chinese Policies on Technology Transfer," Journal of American-East Asian Relations, forthcoming.
Elizabeth Kier, "Discrimination and Military Cohesion: An Organizational Perspective," in Mary Katzenstein and Judith Reppy, eds., Beyond Zero Tolerance: Discrimination in Military Culture (Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Littlefield, 1999)

Elizabeth Kier, "Rights and Fights: Sexual Orientation and Military Effectiveness," International Security, Vol. 24, No. 1 (Summer 1999)

Sergei Konoplyov, coauthor, Monitoring of Foreign and Security Policy of Ukraine, quarterly journal published by Center for Peace, Conversion and Foreign Policy, Kiev, Ukraine

Sean L. Jones, "Realism and Security Studies." In Craig A. Snyder, ed., Contemporary Security Studeis. London: Macmillan,1999, pp. 53-76.

Ariel Merari, "Terrorism as a Strategy of Struggle: Past and Future" was published in Terrorism and Political Violence, in 1999.

Steven E. Miller, "Nuclear Peril in Russia: Proliferation Threats Remain, Remedies are Possible, Action is Required," Testimony before the Subcommittee on Disarmament, Arms Control, and Nonproliferation, Committee on Foreign Affairs, German Bundestag, Berlin, Germany, September 27, 2000.Steven E. Miller, "Arms Control in a World of Cheating: Transparency and Noncompliance in the Post-Cold War Era," to appear in the SIPRI volume, The Future Arms Control Agenda, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, forthcoming).

Steven E. Miller, "Reagan''s Star Wars Magic," [review of Frances Fitzgerald, Way Out There in the Blue: Reagan, Star Wars, and the End of the Cold War], forthcoming in Survival.

Steven E. Miller, Co-editor, with Michael Brown, Owen Cote, and Sean Lynn-Jones, The Rise of China, (Cambridge: The MIT Press, 2000).

Steven E. Miller, "A Comprehensive Approach to Nuclear Arms Control," in Arms Control and Disarmament: A New Conceptual Approach, DDA Occasional Papers, No. 4, September 2000 (New York: United Nations Department for Disarmament Affairs), pp. 16-33.

Steven E. Miller, Co-editor, with Michael Brown, Owen Cote, and Sean Lynn-Jones, Rational Choice and Security Studies: Stephen Walt and His Critics, (Cambridge: The MIT Press, 2000).

Steven E. Miller, "Nuclear Energy and International Security," presentation to the Joint International Symposium on Nuclear Energy and Social/Political Issues: Energy, Waste, and Security, sponsored by the Program on Sociotechnics of Nuclear Energy, University of Tokyo, and the Managing the Atom Project, Harvard University, held in Tokyo, Japan, 21 July 2000.

Steven E. Miller, Co-editor, with Michael Brown, Owen Cote, and Sean Lynn-Jones, America''s Strategic Choices, (revised edition), (Cambridge: The MIT Press, 2000).

Steven E. Miller, Co-author, with Graham Allison, "Preserving Nuclear Restraint: Priority to the Short Run, Priorities for the Short Run," Paper prepared for the International Conference on Nuclear Proliferation and Disarmament, Tokyo, Japan, 4-5 November 1999, 5 pp.

Steven E. Miller, "Nuclearization of South Asia: Problems and Solutions - A Conference Report," in P. Cotta-Ramusino and M. Martellini, eds., Nuclearization of South Asia: Problems and Solutions, (Como: Landau Network-Centro Volta, 1999), pp. 11-20.

Steven E. Miller, "Russia, Nuclear Leakage, and the Nonproliferation Regime," Interdisciplinary Science Reviews, Vol. 24, No. 3 (September 1999), pp. 216-224.

Samantha Power, "Global News Stand: International Affairs," Foreign Policy, Fall 1999

Samantha Power, "Kosovo Dispatch: Breathing Room," New Republic, August 9, 1999

Samantha Power, "To Suffer by Comparison," Daedalus, Vol. 128, No. 2 (Spring 1999)

Samantha Power, "The United States and Genocide Prevention: No Justice without Risk," Brown Journal of World Affairs, Vol. VI, No. 1 (Winter/Spring 1999)

Samantha Power, "Who Knew: Why Everyone Guessed Wrong about Kosovo," New Republic, May 3, 1999

Taylor Seybolt, review of David Callahan, Unwinnable Wars, in International History Review, Vol. 21, No. 1 (March 1999)

Brenda Shaffer, "The Azerbaijanis in Iran: Formation of Collective Identity," Nationalities Papers (September 2000).

Brenda Shaffer, "Azerbaijanis," Encyclopedia of Asia, (New York: Scribners, 2000).

Brenda Shaffer, "Government and Politics in Azerbaijan," U.S.-Azerbaijan Chamber of Commerce Investment Guide, May 2000.

Brenda Shaffer, "The Azerbaijanis in Iran," www.soros.org/central_eurasia.html, April 20, 2000.

Peter W. Singer, "The Thucydides Tapes," PS: Political Science & Politics, Vol. XXXII, Number 3, September 1999, p. 596-603.

Peter W. Singer, "Bosnia 2000: Phoenix or Flames?" World Policy Journal, Vol. XVII, Spring 2000, p. 31-37.

Jessica Eve Stern, "The Prospects for Domestic Bioterror," Emerging Infectious Diseases,Vol. 5, No. 4 (July-August 1999)

Jessica Eve Stern, "Apocalypse Never, Poison Possible," Survival, Vol. 40, No. 4 (Winter 1999)

Stepehen Van Evera Causes of War: Power and the Roots of Conflict (Cornell University Press) in July 1999.

Hui Zhang, Uses of Commercial Satellite Imagery in FMCT Verification, the Nonproliferation Review, Vol.7, No.2, 2000.

Hui Zhang and Frank von Hippel, Using Commercial Imaging Satellites to Detect the Operation of Plutonium-Production Reactors and Uranium-Enrichment Gaseous Diffusion Plants, Science & Global Security , Vol.8, No.3, 2000 .

Hui Zhang , No First Use: One Key Step toward the NWC, Nuclear Weapons Convention Monitor, No.1, 2000.

Hui Zhang, Zia Mian, M.V. Ramana, and Hui Zhang, Ending the n-race, an op-ed in the Hindu India''s national newspaper), May 25,2000.

International Security Program Associates

Books And Reports

Walter C. Clemens, Dynamics of International Relations: Conflict and Mutual Gain in an Era of Global Interdependence (Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Littlefield, 1998)

Charles G. Cogan, Alliés éternels, amis ombrageux: les Etats-Unis et la France depuis 1940 (Brussels: Editions Bruylant, 1999)

Owen R. Coté, Jr., "Precision Strike from the Sea: New Missions for a New Navy," MIT Security Studies Program conference report, July 1998

Randall Forsberg, IDDS Almanac of World Arms Holdings, Production, and Trade (released on CD, Fall 1999)

Astrid Tuminez, Russian Nationalism Since 1856: Fragmented Ideology and the Making of Foreign Policy (Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Littlefield, 1999)

Stephen Van Evera, Causes of War: Power and the Roots of Conflict (Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 1999)
Articles, Book Chapters, And Reviews

Walter C. Clemens, Jr., "Self-Organization versus Autocracy in Baltic Life, A.D. 1000-2000," Lituanus, 46, 1 (2000), pp 11-36.

Walter C. Clemens, Jr., Fnals in Moscow?" Behind the Breaking News, 2, 1 (February 23, 2000), Institute for the Study of Conflict, Ideology and Policy (E-mail transmission).

Walter C. Clemens, Jr., "Our Missile Defense System: Safeguard— or Skylark?" Bostonia, 2 (Summer 2000), pp. 29-32.

Walter C. Clemens, Journal of Cold War Studies, review essay in Volume 2.

Walter C. Clemens Review: William Safran, ed., Nationalism and Ethnoregional Identities in China in Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, 5, 2 (Spring 1999), pp. 134-35.
Walter C. Clemens, "An Alternative to NATO Expansion," reprinted in John T. Rourke, ed., Taking Sides: Clashing Views on Controversial Issues in World Politics, 8th ed. (Guilford, Conn.: Dushkin/McGraw-Hill, 1998)

Walter C. Clemens, "The Baltic Reborn: Challenges of Transition," Democratizatsiya, Vol. 6, No. 4 (Fall 1998), pp. 710-733

Walter C. Clemens, "The Baltic Republics, Russia, and Energy: From Dependency to Interdependence?" SAIS Review, Vol. 19, No. 1 (Winter-Spring 1999), pp. 190-208

Walter C. Clemens, "China: Alternative Futures," Communist and Post-Communist Studies, Vol. 32, No. 1 (1999), pp. 1-21

Walter C. Clemens, "From AD 2000 to AD 2025: Six Alternative Futures," International Studies in Democratizatsiya, Vol. 6, No. 3, (Summer 1998), p. 608

Walter C. Clemens, review of Neil Hood et al., Transition in the Baltic States: Micro-Level Studies in Democratizatsiya, Vol. 6, No. 3, (Summer 1998), p. 608

Walter C. Clemens, review of Robert Latham, "The Liberal Moment," in Slavic Review Vol. 57, No. 3 (Fall 1998), pp. 631-632

Charles G. Cogan, "L''attitude des Etats-Unis à l''égard de la guerre d''Indochine," in L''Armée française et la guerre d''Indochine (1946-1954): adaptation ou inadaptation (Paris: Centre d''Etudes d''Histoire de la Défense, forthcoming 1999)

Charles G. Cogan, "The Security Crisis of the Late 1940s," in NATO: The First Fifty Years (New York: Macmillan, forthcoming 1999)

Charles G. Cogan, "Wye River, Long Fleuve: The CIA, the PLO, and the Peace Process," Mediterranean Quarterly, Vol. 10, No. 2 (Spring 1999)

Charles G. Cogan, review of Maurice Vaisse, La grandeur: politique étrangère du général de Gaulle," in French Politics and Society, Vol. 17, No. 1 (Winter 1999)

Owen R. Coté, Jr., "Innovation in the Submarine Force: Past and Present," Undersea Warfare, Vol. 1, No. ,2 (Winter 1998/99)

Owen R. Coté, Jr., "How to Spend Defense Dollars" op-ed in Washington Times, January 15, 1999, Page A19

Helen Fein, "The Three P''s of Genocide Prevention …" in Neal Riemer, ed., The Prevention of Genocide: Mission Impossible? (Westport, Conn.: Praeger, forthcoming 1999).

Helen Fein"Civil Wars and Genocide: Paths and Circles," Human Rights Review, Vol. 1, No. 3 (April-June 2000), 49-61.

Helen Fein"Genozid als Staatsverbrechen" in Zeitschrift fur Genozidforschung vol. 1 (jahrgang 1999) [published by Ruhr-Universitat Bochum Instituts fur Diaspora-und Genozidforschung], 36-45.

Phillip Fellman, "Olympic Airways and the Problem of Subsidization in the Single European Market," International Studies Notes, Summer 1999, the official publication of the International Studies Association.

Peter M. Haas, "Social Constructivism and the Evolution of Multilateral Environmental Governance," in Aseem Prakash and Jeffrey A. Hart, eds., Globalization and Governance (New York: Routledge, 1999).

Peter M. Haas and Robert Knecht, "The Global Environmental Management Regime," in Jack Archer, Project Director, A Study of the Emerging International Environmental Management System, prepared for the United States Environmental Protection Agency Office of International Affairs.

Robert E. Hunter, "Maximizing NATO," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 78, No. 3 (May/June 1999) in the special "NATO''s 50th anniversary" section.

Daniel Lindley, "The Military Factor in the Eastern Mediterranean," in Clement Dodd, ed., Cyprus, the Need for New Perspectives, (Huntington, England: Eothen Press, 1999).

Barry Posen "U.S. Security Policy in a Nuclear-Armed World, or What if Iraq Had Nuclear Weapons?" in Victor Utgoff, ed., The Coming Crisis: Nuclear Proliferation, U.S. Interests, and World Order, MIT Press, 2000.

Barry Posen, "The War for Kosovo: Serbia''s Political-Military Strategy," International Security, Vol. 24, No. 4 (Spring 2000), pp. 39-84.

Elizabeth Rogers, "Using Economic Sanctions to Improve Human Rights Practices ," November 1999. Paper prepared for the Lawyers Committee on Human Rights in conjunction with the human rights section of BCSIA.

Jack Ruina, "The Problem of Conversion in the U.S. Military Electronics Industry Book," in Judith Reppy, ed., Conversion of Military R&D (London: Macmillan Press, 1998)

B. Trainor, a three part series in "The Marine Corps Gazette" entitled, "I must Go Down to the Sea Again" recounting naval experiences in the early days of the Cold War.

B. Trainor, "American Century" entitled "Along the [Korean] DMZ. 1999."

B. Trainor , OP-EDs in the Boston Globe, "Twenty-Five Years After Vietnam" (4-29) and "The Still Forgotten War" (6-29).

B. Trainor, entitled "On Going to War." Marine Corps Association, 1999.

D. Wright, "US Technology Can''t Guarantee Effective Missile Defense," Washington Times, 8/22/00, p. A14.

D. Wright, "Not Much Defense, Nucleus 22 (4) (Summer 2000), pp. 7-8.

D. Wright, L. Gronlund, and G. Lewis, "Obsolete Before Deployment: Simple Countermeasures Could Defeat Planned NMD," Inside Missile Defense, 6/28/00. D. Wright and T. Postol, Boston Globe, "Missile Defense System Won''t Work," 5/11/00, p. A27.

D. Wright and E. MacDonald "Limited Benefits, Heavy Penalties: An American Critique of NMD," Current Decisions #25 (Oxford Research Group, May 2000), pp. 71-74.

D. Wright, A.M. Sessler, J.M. Cornwall, B. Dietz, S. Fetter, S. Frankel, R.L. Garwin, K. Gottfried, L. Gronlund, G.N. Lewis, T.A. Postol,Countermeasures: A Technical Evaluation of the Operational Effectiveness of the Planned US National Missile Defense System, (Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists and MIT Security Studies Program, April 2000).

D. Wight, George Lewis, and Lisbeth Gronlund, , "National Missile Defense: An Indefensible System," Foreign Policy (Winter 1999-2000), pp. 120-137. Reprinted in Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Nuclear Tensions in a New Era (March 2000).

Science Technology And Public Policy Program

Books And Reports

Samina Ahmed, "Pakistan''s Nuclear Weapons Program: Moving Forward or Tactical Retreat?" Occasional Paper Series 18, No. 2 (Notre Dame, IN: Joan B. Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame, February 2000).

Samina Ahmed and David Cortright, "Preventing a Nuclear Arms Race in South Asia: U.S. Policy Options," Policy Brief, No. 2 (Notre Dame, IN: Joan B. Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame, January 2000).

Philip Auerswald, and David Auerswald, eds., foreword by Sen. Joseph Biden, The Kosovo Conflict: A Diplomatic History Through Documents (Cambridge, MA/The Hague: Kluwer Law International forthcoming).

Lewis M. Branscomb, Kenneth Morse, and Michael Roberts, Managing Technical Risk: Understanding Private Sector Decision Making on Early Stage, Technology-Based Projects, NIST GCR 00-787 (Washington DC: U.S. Department of Commerce, National Institute of Standards and Technology, Advanced Technology Program, April 2000).

Lewis M. Branscomb, Fumio Kodama, and Richard Florida, eds., Industrializing Knowledge: University-Industry Linkages in Japan and the United States (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1999).

Lewis M. Branscomb and Fumio Kodama, New Strategies for New Challenges: Corporate Innovation in the United States and Japan, Office of Japan Affairs, National Research Council, (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1999).

Lewis M. Branscomb and Philip Auerswald, Taking Technical Risks: How Innovators, Managers, and Inventors Manage Risk in High-Tech Innovations (Cambridge MA: MIT Press, forthcoming).

Oleg Bukharin, Matthew Bunn, and Kenneth N. Luongo, Renewing the Partnership: Recommendations for Accelerated Action To Secure Nuclear Material in the Former Soviet Union, (Washington, DC: Russian-American Nuclear Security Advisory Council, August 2000).

Oleg Bukharin, Harold Feiveson, Frank von Hippel, Sharon K. Weiner, Matthew Bunn, William Hoehn, and Kenneth Luongo, Helping Russia Downsize its Nuclear Complex: A Focus on the Closed Nuclear Cities, Report of an International Conference held at Princeton University, March 14-15, 2000 (Princeton, NJ: Program on Nuclear Policy Alternatives, Center of International Studies and Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, Princeton University, June 2000).

Matthew Bunn, The Next Wave: Urgently Needed New Steps to Control Warheads and Fissile Material (Washington DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Harvard Project on Managing the Atom, April 2000).

L. Jean Camp, Trust and Risk in Internet Commerce (Cambridge MA: MIT Press, 2000).

Rebecca Morris & L. Jean Camp, "Wine on the Wire: Press Coverage of Internet Commerce," (Cambridge, MA: Shorenstein Center Working Papers, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, February 1999).

Committee on Science, Technology, and Health Aspects of the Foreign Policy Agenda of the United States, National Research Council (Robert Frosch, chair), The Pervasive Role of Science, Technology, and Health in Foreign Policy: Imperatives for the Department of State (Washington DC: National Academy Press, 1999).

David M. Hart, Forged Consensus: Science, Technology, and Economic Policy in the United States, 1921-1953 (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1999).

Richard E. Balzhiser, Charles Curtis, E. Linn Draper, Robert W. Fri, Robert L. Hirsch, Mark D. Levine, Milton Russell, Maxine L. Savitz, Jack S. Siegel, Harold K. Forsen, John P. Holdren, F. Sherwood Rowland, Lu Yongxiang, Cai Ruixian, Fan Weitang, Hu Jianyi, Wang Yingshi, Yan Luguang, Yao Fusheng, Zhao Renkai, Zheng Jianchao, Zhou Fengqi, An Jianyi, Cao Jinghua, and Liu Xiaobei, Cooperation in the Energy Futures of China and the United States, (Washington DC: National Academy Press, December 1999).

Richard Meserve, John McTague, Ruth M. Davis, John H. Gibbons, John P. Holdren, Michael M. May, and Wolfgang K. H. Panofsky, Balancing Scientific Openness and National Security Controls at the National Weapons Laboratories (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, November 1999).

Calestous Juma, Science, Technology, and Economic Growth: Africa''s Biopolicy Agenda in the 21st Century, Science, Technology, and Innovation Policy Paper Series (Cambridge, MA: Center for International Development, Harvard University, June 14, 2000).

Calestous Juma, Biotechnology and Sustainable Agriculture: Developing Country Perspectives, Science, Technology, and Innovation Policy Paper Series (Cambridge, MA: Center for International Development, Harvard University, February 28, 2000).

Calestous Juma, Limits to South-South Collaboration, Science, Technology, and Innovation Policy Paper Series (Cambridge, MA: Center for International Development, Harvard University, November 12, 1999).

Calestous Juma and Aarti Gupta, Safe Use of Biotechnology, Science, Technology, and Innovation Policy Paper Series (Cambridge, MA: Center for International Development, Harvard University November 1, 1999).

Marybeth Long, Grains of Truth: The Evolution of Science and International Desertification Policymaking, Ph.D. Dissertation (Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2000).

James Walsh, Bombs Unbuilt: Power, Ideas, and Institutions in International Politics, Ph.D. Dissertation (Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Political Science, 2000).

Tao Wenzhao, Evolution of the Internet in China (Cambridge, MA: Center for International Development, Information Technologies Group, Harvard University, 2000).

Hui Zhang and Frank von Hippel, Using Commercial Observation Satellites to Verify that Uranium Enrichment Gaseous Diffusion Plants are Not Operating, PU/CEES Report 325 (Princeton, NJ: Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, Princeton University, May 2000).

Hui Zhang and Frank von Hippel, The Application of Commercial Observation Satellite Imagery for the Verification of Declared and Undeclared Uranium Enrichment Plants, Pu/CEES Report No. 319 (Princeton, NJ: Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, Princeton University, August 1999).

Articles, Book Chapters, And Reviews
Samina Ahmed, "Military Confidence Building Measures in South Asia: Potential, Possibilities and Limitations," in Dipankar Bannerjee, ed., CBM s in South Asia: Potential and Possibilities (Colombo: Regional Center for Strategic Studies, 2000).

Samina Ahmed, "A Friend for All Seasons," Newsline, October 1999.

Samina Ahmed, "Avoiding Historical Repetition," Harvard Crimson, October 27, 1999.

Samina Ahmed, "A Bomb for a Bomb?" Newsline, September 1999.

Samina Ahmed, "Pakistan," in William M. Carpenter and David G. Wiencek, eds., Asian Security Handbook 2000 (New York: M.E. Sharpe, forthcoming).

Samina Ahmed, "The Fragile Base of Democracy in Pakistan," in Amita Shastri and A. Jeyaratnam Wilson, eds., The Post-Colonial States of South Asia: Democracy, Development and Identity, (London: Hurst and Co., forthcoming).

Philip Auerswald, Stuart Kauffman, Jose Lobo, and Karl Shell, "The Production Recipes Approach to Modeling Technological Innovation: An Application to Learning by Doing," Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Vol. 24, No. 3 (March 2000), 389-450.

Lewis Branscomb, "Managing Technical Risks in High Tech Innovation," in Proceedings of the Conference on "Innovation Management," Beijing, China, April 24-27, 2000.

Lewis M. Branscomb, "The False Dichotomy: Scientific Creativity and Utility," Issues in Science and Technology, Fall 1999, pp. 66-72.

Lewis M. Branscomb, "Managing Science-based Industrial Innovation," Unesco Courier, forthcoming.

Matthew Bunn, "The Next Wave: Urgently Needed New Steps to Control Warheads and Fissile Material," in Joseph Cirincione, ed., Repairing the Regime (New York, NY: Routledge, 2000).

Matthew Bunn, "Plutonium at the Summit," Christian Science Monitor, April 26, 2000.

Matthew Bunn, "Executive Summary," and "Funding Nuclear Security" (principal author) in Sam Nunn (chair), Managing the Global Nuclear Materials Threat: Policy Recommendations (Washington DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies, January 2000).

Matthew Bunn, "The Economics of Reprocessing Compared to Direct Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel," in Peter Ellis, ed., Nuclear Reprocessing: Has it a Future? Views from Inside and Outside the Industry, Current Decisions Report No. 22 (Oxford, UK: Oxford Research Group, October 1999).

Matthew Bunn, "The Economics of MOX Fabrication," in Peter Ellis, ed., Nuclear Reprocessing: Has it a Future? Views from Inside and Outside the Industry, Current Decisions Report No. 22 (Oxford, UK: Oxford Research Group, October 1999).

Matthew Bunn, "Enabling A Significant Future For Nuclear Power: Avoiding Catastrophes, Developing New Technologies, Democratizing Decisions -- And Staying Away From Separated Plutonium," (plenary address) in Proceedings of Global ''99: Nuclear Technology- Bridging the Millenia, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, 30 August - 2 September 1999 (La Grange Park, IL: American Nuclear Society, 1999).

Matthew Bunn, "Ensuring Security for Weapons-Usable Nuclear Material Worldwide: Expanding International Cooperation, Strengthening Global Standards," in Proceedings of Global ''99: Nuclear Technology- Bridging the Millenia, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, 30 August - 2 September 1999 (La Grange Park, IL: American Nuclear Society, 1999).

Matthew Bunn, Steve Fetter and John P. Holdren, "The Economics of Reprocessing vs. Direct Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel: Short-Term and Long-Term Prospects," in Proceedings of Global ''99: Nuclear Technology- Bridging the Millenia, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, 30 August - 2 September 1999 (La Grange Park, IL: American Nuclear Society, 1999).

L. Jean Camp, "An Atomicity-Generating Layer for Anonymous Currencies," IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, forthcoming.

L. Jean Camp, "A Logic for the Evaluation Of Anonymity in Electronic Commerce Protocols," The Information Society, Vol. 15 (2000), pp. 249-256.

L. Jean Camp & Y.T. Chien, "Public Spaces on the Internet," ACM Computers & Society, forthcoming.

L. Jean Camp & Brian Anderson, "Grameen Phone: Empowering the Poor through Connectivity," iMP: The Magazine on Information Impacts, December 1999.

L Jean Camp, "The Post-Covergence Consumer," in Lee McKnight, ed., Creative Destruction (MIT Press, forthcoming).

L. Jean Camp & Brian Anderson, "De-Regulating the Local Loop: The Telecommunications Regulation Path Less Chosen as Taken by Bangladesh," International Journal of Technology Policy and Management, forthcoming.

Evan Feigenbaum, "China Gags the Web and Stifles its Own High-Tech Ambitions," International Herald Tribune, February 5, 2000.

Evan Feigenbaum, "Who''s Behind China''s High Technology ''Revolution''? How Bomb Makers Remade Beijing''s Priorities, Policies, and Institutions," International Security, Vol. 24, No. 1 (Summer 1999), pp. 95-126.

Evan Feigenbaum, "China''s Military Posture and the New Economic Geopolitics," Survival, Vol. 41, No. 2 (Summer 1999), pp. 71-88.

Evan Feigenbaum, "Soldiers, Weapons, and Chinese Development Strategy: The Mao Era Military in China''s Economic and Institutional Debate," The China Quarterly, No. 158 (June 1999), pp. 285-313.

Evan Feigenbaum, "Economics, Security, and Asian Stability After the Crash," Japan Center for International Exchange, eds. New Dimensions of China-Japan-U.S. Relations (New York and Tokyo: Japan Center for International Exchange and Brookings Institution Press, 1999), pp. 33-60.

Evan Feigenbaum, "Patterns of Chinese Policies on Technology Transfer," Journal of American-East Asian Relations, forthcoming.

Evan Feigenbaum,, "Reforming China''s Defense Industries: The Science and Technology Dimension," in David Shambaugh, ed., China''s Military Modernization: Strategic and Regional Implications (Washington, DC and London: Jane''s Defense Information Group, forthcoming).

Evan Feigenbaum, "Violence and Great Power Coordination in Asia," in David M. Lampton, ed., Major Power Relations in Northeast Asia: Win-Win or Zero-Sum Game (New York and Tokyo: Japan Center for International Exchange and Brookings Institution Press, forthcoming).

David Hart, "IBM in American Politics, 1970-1999," Business and Economic History Vol. 28, No. 2 (1999), pp. 49-60.

David Hart, "Commentario: Ciencia - La Frontiera Sin Fin," [Commentary: Science - the Endless Frontier], Redes Vol. 7, No. 14 (1999), pp. 143-146.

David Hart, Review of James D. Savage, Funding Science in America: Congress, Universities, and the Politics of the Academic Pork Barrel in American Political Science Review Vol. 84 (2000) p. 465.

David Hart, &q

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