Journal Article - Quarterly Journal: International Security
The Peril of Peaking Powers: Economic Slowdowns and Implications for China’s Next Decade
Summary
If a rising power is profiting from the existing order, why would it disrupt that progress with reckless expansion? One reason is slowing economic growth. Over the past 150 years, peaking powers have been the most dangerous kind of country. An extended period of rapid growth equipped them with the means to shake up the world, and then a protracted growth slowdown motivated them to move aggressively to try to rekindle their rise.
Want to Read More?
The full text of this publication is available via the original publication source.
For more information on this publication:
Belfer Communications Office
For Academic Citation:
Michael Beckley, "The Peril of Peaking Powers: Economic Slowdowns and Implications for China’s Next Decade," International Security 48, no. 1 (Summer 2023), 7–46, https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00463.
- Recommended
- In the Spotlight
- Most Viewed
Recommended
Analysis & Opinions
- War on the Rocks
Cancelling the New Sea-launched Nuclear Cruise Missile is the Right Move
Report
- Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School
Navigating China’s Opportunistic Approach to Overseas Naval Base Acquisition
Journal Article
- Quarterly Journal: International Security
To Punish or Protect? Local Leaders and Economic Coercion in China
In the Spotlight
Most Viewed
Analysis & Opinions
- Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School
AI and Trust
Journal Article
- Research Policy
The Relationship Between Science and Technology
Policy Brief
- Quarterly Journal: International Security
Nonfatal Casualties and the Changing Costs of War
Summary
If a rising power is profiting from the existing order, why would it disrupt that progress with reckless expansion? One reason is slowing economic growth. Over the past 150 years, peaking powers have been the most dangerous kind of country. An extended period of rapid growth equipped them with the means to shake up the world, and then a protracted growth slowdown motivated them to move aggressively to try to rekindle their rise.
Want to Read More?
The full text of this publication is available via the original publication source.Michael Beckley, "The Peril of Peaking Powers: Economic Slowdowns and Implications for China’s Next Decade," International Security 48, no. 1 (Summer 2023), 7–46, https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00463.
- Recommended
- In the Spotlight
- Most Viewed
Recommended
Analysis & Opinions - War on the Rocks
Cancelling the New Sea-launched Nuclear Cruise Missile is the Right Move
Report - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School
Navigating China’s Opportunistic Approach to Overseas Naval Base Acquisition
Journal Article - Quarterly Journal: International Security
To Punish or Protect? Local Leaders and Economic Coercion in China
In the Spotlight
Most Viewed
Analysis & Opinions - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School
AI and Trust
Journal Article - Research Policy
The Relationship Between Science and Technology
Policy Brief - Quarterly Journal: International Security
Nonfatal Casualties and the Changing Costs of War