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Summary
Since 2008, tensions between China and Taiwan have decreased significantly. Is the risk of cross-strait conflict likely to remain low? There are reasons for optimism: economic ties between the two states are increasing; China’s growing military strength is still offset by the U.S. commitment to Taiwan; and Taiwanese remain pragmatic regarding Taiwan’s sovereignty.
Read: The author has written a policy brief based on this article.
Kastner, Scott L.. “Is the Taiwan Strait Still a Flash Point? Rethinking the Prospects for Armed Conflict between China and Taiwan.” Winter 2015/16
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