International Security

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Back to Bipolarity: How China’s Rise Transformed the Balance of Power

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A staff member gestures to a delegate during a session of China's National People's Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Friday, March 10, 2023.
A staff member gestures to a delegate during a session of China's National People's Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Friday, March 10, 2023.

China’s rise, Russia’s military resurgence, and India’s economic growth have prompted debates about the end of unipolarity and the future balance of power. This article introduces an inductive method for comparing national power. It draws three conclusions: Great powers don’t need to achieve parity with the leading state to engage in a dangerous security competition; China on most dimensions is not only a great power but a superpower; and neither Russia nor India are great powers. The system is bipolar.

Recommended citation

Jennifer Lind, "Back to Bipolarity: How China’s Rise Transformed the Balance of Power," International Security, Vol. 49, No. 2 (Fall 2024), pp. 7–55.