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from Cambridge Forum on AI: Law and Governance

Computer Says, “War”: AI and Resort-to-Force Decision Making in a Context of Rapid Change and Global Uncertainty

This is one of fourteen articles published as part of the Cambridge Forum on AI: Law and Governance Special Issue, AI and the Decision to Go to War

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Russian Iskander missile
In this image released by the Russian Defense Ministry Press Service on May 21, 2024, a Russian Iskander missile is seen at an undisclosed location in Russia during drills for using tactical nuclear weapons. Russian hawks have called for revising the country's nuclear doctrine to lower the threshold for using nuclear weapons, and Russian President Vladimir Putin said the doctrine could be modified. 

Abstract

This article prefaces our Special Issue on “AI and the Decision to Go to War.” We begin by introducing the prospect of artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled systems increasingly infiltrating state-level decision making on the resort to force, clarifying that our focus is on existing technologies, and outlining the two general ways that this can conceivably occur: through automated self-defense and AI-enabled decision-support systems. We then highlight recent, on-going developments that create a backdrop of rapid change and global uncertainty against which AI-enabled systems will inform such deliberations: (i) the widespread tendency to misperceive the latest AI-enabled technologies as increasingly “human”; (ii) the changing role of “Big Tech” in the global competition over military applications of AI; (iii) a conspicuous blind spot in current discussions surrounding international regulation; and (iv) the emerging reality of an AI-nuclear weapons nexus. We suggest that each factor will affect the trajectory of AI-informed war initiation and must be addressed as scholars and policymakers determine how best to prepare for, direct, and respond to this anticipated change. Finally, turning to the pressing legal, ethical, sociotechnical, political, and geopolitical challenges that will accompany this transformation, we revisit four “complications” that have framed the broader project from which this Special Issue has emerged. Within this framework, we preview the other 13 multidisciplinary research articles that make up this collection. Together, these articles explore the risks and opportunities that will follow AI into the war-room.

Recommended citation

Erskine, Toni and Steven E. Miller. “Computer Says, “War”: AI and Resort-to-Force Decision Making in a Context of Rapid Change and Global Uncertainty.” Cambridge Forum on AI: Law and Governance, 2026

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