Policy Briefs

Future Pathways in the Middle East Conflict: How the War Could End or Escalate

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Moeed Yusuf analyzes the possible trajectories of the Middle East amid the ongoing Iran war, including prospects for a ceasefire, triggers that could drive further escalation, and pathways through which the conflict might expand and draw in additional countries.

This paper was originally published by the Beaconhouse National University Center for Policy Research. 

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 Illustration of a world map zone and of Iran country
Recommended citation

Moeed Yusuf, Future Pathways in the Middle East Conflict: How the War Could End or Escalate (Lahore: Beaconhouse National University, Center for Policy Research, April 6, 2026), accessed April 6, 2026, https://bnu.edu.pk/portals/MiddleEastConflictscenarios(MoeedYusuf)_260406_190912.pdf.

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