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80th Anniversary of the Trinity Test: A Critical Moment for Dialogue and Disarmament

On July 16 1945, in New Mexico’s Jornada del Muerto desert at 5:30 a.m., the U.S. Army conducted the first ever detonation of a nuclear weapon as part of the Manhattan Project.

Now, 80 years later,  nuclear tensions are resurfacing and the threat of proliferation grows. Nuclear Scientists and Experts at the Belfer Center come together to reflect on the Trinity Test as a critical moment at the dawn of the nuclear age and its enduring legacy, and question where we stand today.

We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent.

J. Robert Oppenheimer
on the creation of the atomic bomb.

We face a more multi-polar nuclear world with thousands of nuclear weapons, intense animosity among nuclear-armed states, a weakened regime of nuclear arms restraint, and evolving technologies making nuclear balances ever more complex to maintain.

Nobel Laureate Assembly for the Prevention of Nuclear War

Francesca Giovannini, Executive Director of the Project on Managing the Atom, joined 15 Nobel Laureates, Nuclear Scientists and Experts to commemorate the 80th Anniversary of the Trinity Test in July 2025. 

The first ever Nobel Laureate gathering to focus on nuclear issues, the Assembly presented a list of actionable recommendations for preventing nuclear war aimed at leaders and policy makers around the world.

The Univesity of Chicago hosted the event organized by a group of Nobel laureates, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the Outrider Foundation and the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs. 

Watch the Nobel Laureate Assembly for the Prevention of Nuclear War here

Trinity Test
Hiroshima
Cuban Missle Crisis 1962
NPT 1968
A US Air Force after-action report describes three days of "low spectrum" conventional play followed by two days of "high spectrum nuclear warfare". From the National Security Archive.
Berlin Wall
India Nuclear
Iran Deal
Trump Withdraws from JCPOA
Invasion of Ukraine
Iran Air Strike 2025
Trump and Putin
Trinity Test

TRINITY TEST, JULY 16, 1945

At 5:29 AM, the world changed. In a remote stretch of New Mexico desert, the United States detonated the first nuclear weapon. Trinity marked the beginning of the nuclear age—an era defined by both unparalleled destructive power and profound responsibility. 

Hiroshima

HIROSHIMA AND NAGASAKI, 1945

Only weeks later, the U.S. dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, killing over 100,000 civilians. The weapons ended World War II—but ushered in a global arms race and an ethical reckoning still unfolding today. 

Cuban Missle Crisis 1962

THE CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS, 1962

Thirteen days in October: the U.S. and Soviet Union stood on the brink of nuclear war. Diplomacy, restraint, and sheer luck pulled the world back. The crisis became a stark lesson: miscalculation could be catastrophic. 

NPT 1968

NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION TREATY (NPT), 1968

With the NPT, nuclear and non-nuclear states agreed: proliferation must be prevented, disarmament pursued, and peaceful nuclear energy shared. Today, nearly every country is party to the treaty—yet its future is fragile. 

A US Air Force after-action report describes three days of "low spectrum" conventional play followed by two days of "high spectrum nuclear warfare". From the National Security Archive.

ABLE ARCHER & NEAR MISS, 1983

A NATO exercise simulating a nuclear launch was mistaken by the Soviets as the real thing. The world narrowly avoided accidental war—thanks in part to one Soviet officer who chose not to escalate. 

Berlin Wall

THE FALL OF THE BERLIN WALL, 1989

The Cold War thawed, and with it came hope: for cooperation, for disarmament, for a new era where nuclear weapons were no longer center stage. Treaties like START followed. But the danger never disappeared. 

India Nuclear

INDIA & PAKISTAN GO NUCLEAR, 1998

Despite the NPT, nuclear weapons spread. India and Pakistan—regional rivals with deep animosity—tested weapons weeks apart, increasing the global count of nuclear states and adding new dimensions of risk. 

Iran Deal

THE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL, 2015

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) placed strict limits on Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief. Though imperfect, the deal rolled back proliferation risk in a volatile region—demonstrating what diplomacy can achieve. 

Trump Withdraws from JCPOA

U.S. WITHDRAWS FROM THE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL, 2018

In May 2018, President Donald Trump unilaterally withdrew the United States from the JCPOA—the nuclear agreement with Iran, citing its sunset clauses and regional behavior. The move fractured international consensus and triggered a cycle of escalating tensions. 

Invasion of Ukraine

RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE, 2022

For the first time since the Cold War, a nuclear-armed state invaded a sovereign state. Russia’s threats of nuclear use shattered taboos—and underscored how deterrence can be abused, not just relied on. 

Iran Air Strike 2025

U.S. AIRSTRIKE ON IRAN’S ENRICHMENT FACILITIES, 2025

In late June 2025, the United States launched Operation Midnight Hammer to strike Iran’s deeply buried enrichment sites at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—in response to intelligence that Iran was enriching uranium up to 60%. The attack injected new urgency into calls for a diplomatic resolution—underscoring that military action alone won’t eliminate nuclear risk. 

Trump and Putin

NEW START & ITS UNCERTAIN FUTURE

New START—our last major arms control treaty with Russia—expires in 2026. Without it, mutual inspections vanish. The risk of arms racing increases. Time is running out to extend or replace the agreement.