Access Denied? The Sino-American Contest for Military Primacy in Asia

How has the balance of power shifted in maritime East Asia? What does it mean for the U.S.-China military competition in the region? This article focuses on a central pillar of U.S. military might—land-based air power—in the context of a war over Taiwan. Modeling a Taiwan conflict that explores multiple scenarios, the authors find that the United States’ current approach to defend Taiwan exposes U.S. forces to significant risk of catastrophic defeat.