Reports & Papers
BCSIA: 1996-1997 ANNUAL REPORT
8. BCSIA Publications
International Security Program
International Security
Volume 21, Number 1 (Summer 1996)
Weiner, Myron, "Bad Neighbors, Bad Neighborhoods: An Inquiry into the Causes of Refugee Flows"
Dowty, Alan and Gil Loescher, "Refugee Flows as Grounds for International Action"
Posen, Barry R., "Military Responses to Refugee Disasters"
Matthews, John C., III, "Current Gains and Future Outcomes: When Cumulative Relative Gains Matter"
Liberman, Peter, "Trading with the Enemy: Security and Relative Economic Gains"
Fetter, Steve and Devin T. Hagerty, "Nuclear Deterrence and the 1990 Indo-Pakistani Crisis"
Volume 21, Number 2 (Fall 1996)
Snyder, Jack and Karen Ballentine, "Nationalism and the Marketplace of Ideas"
Lake, David A. and Donald Rothchild, "Containing Fear: The Origins and Management of Ethnic Conflict"
Ganguly, Sumit, "Explaining the Kashmir Insurgency: Political Mobilization and Institutional Decay"
Kaufman, Stuart J., "Spiraling to Ethnic War: Elites, Masses, and Moscow in Moldova''s Civil War"
Biddle, Stephen, "Victory Misunderstood: What the Gulf War Tells Us about the Future of Conflict"
Shambaugh, David, "Containment or Engagement of China? Calculating Beijing''s Responses"
Volume 21, Number 3 (Winter 1996/97)
Posen, Barry R. and Andrew L. Ross, "Competing Visions for U.S. Grand Strategy"
Sagan, Scott D., "Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons? Three Models in Search of a Bomb"
Karl, David J., "Proliferation Pessimism and Emerging Nuclear Powers"
Herbst, Jeffrey, "Responding to State Failure in Africa"
Howe, Herbert, "Lessons of Liberia: ECOMOG and Regional Peacekeeping"
Gochman, Charles S., and Henry S. Farber and Joanne Garber, Correspondence on "Democracy and Peace"
Volume 22, Number 4 (Spring 1997)
Gholz, Eugene, Daryl G. Press, and Harvey M. Sapolsky, "Come Home, America: The Strategy of Restraint in the Face of Temptation"
Mastanduno, Michael, "Preserving the Unipolar Moment: Realist Theories and U.S. Grand Strategy after the Cold War"
Ruggie, John Gerard, "The Past as Prologue? Interests, Identity, and American Foreign Policy"
Bukharin, Oleg, "The Future of Russia''s Plutonium Cities"
Risse, Thomas, "The Cold War''s Endgame and German Unification (A Review Essay)"
Glaser, Charles L. and John C. Matthews, III, Correspondence on "Current Gains and Future Outcomes
BCSIA Studies in International Security
Allison, Graham T., Owen R. Coté, Jr., Richard A. Falkenrath, and Steven E. Miller, Avoiding Nuclear Anarchy: Containing the Threat of Loose Russian Nuclear Weapons and Fissile Material (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
Allison, Graham T. and Kalypso Nicolaïdis, eds., The Greek Paradox: Promise vs. Performance (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
Blackwill, Robert D. and Michael Stürmer, eds., Allies Divided: Transatlantic Policies for the Greater Middle East (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
Brown, Michael E., ed., The International Dimensions of Internal Conflict (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
Elman, Miriam Fendius, eds., Paths to Peace: Is Democracy the Answer? (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
Feldman, Shai, Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control in the Middle East (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
Shields, John M. and William C. Potter, eds., Dismantling the Cold War: U.S. and NIS Perspectives on the Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
International Security Readers
Brown, Michael E., Owen R. Coté, Jr., Sean M. Lynn-Jones, and Steven E. Miller, eds., Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
Brown, Michael E., Sean M. Lynn-Jones, and Steven E. Miller, eds., Debating the Democratic Peace (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
Brown, Michael E., Sean M. Lynn-Jones, and Steven E. Miller, eds., East Asian Security (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
International Security Discussion Papers
Arbatov, Alexei, "Military Reform in Russia: Dilemmas, Obstacles, and Prospects" (no. 97-01)
de Nevers, Renée, "Sustaining the Transition? Western Efforts to Support Democracy and Prevent Conflict in Russia" (no. 96-03)
Rogers, Elizabeth, S., "Using Economic Sanctions to Prevent Deadly Conflict" (no. 96-02)
Special Publications
Allison, Graham, Karl Kaiser, Sergei Karaganov, Towards a New Democratic Commonwealth, February 1997
Allison, Graham, and Commission on America''s National Interests, America''s National Interests, July 1996
Blacker, Coit D., Ashton B. Carter, Warren Christopher, David A. Hamburg, William J. Perry, NATO after Madrid: Looking to the Future (Stanford University: Center for International Security and Arms Control and Institute for International Studies; Harvard University: Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, 1997)
Science, Technology, And Public Policy Program
Books
Alik, John, Lewis M. Branscomb, Harvey Brooks, Ashton Carter, and Gerald Epstein, Beyond Spinoff, published in 1997 in Chinese in Beijing (originally published in Boston.: Harvard Business School Press, 1991)
Branscomb, Lewis M. (chair), The Unpredictable Certainty: Information Infrastructure through 2000, Computer Science and Telecommunications Board (Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 1996)
Branscomb, Lewis M. and Young-Hwan Choi, Korea at the Turning Point: An Innovation-Based Strategy for Development (Westport, Conn.: Praeger, 1996)
Branscomb, Lewis M. and James Keller, eds., Converging Infrastructures: Intelligent Transportation Systems and the National Information Infrastructure (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
Branscomb, Lewis M. and James Keller, eds., Investing in Innovation: A Research and Innovation Policy for America''s Future (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
Branscomb, Lewis M. and Fumio Kodama (cochairs), New Strategies for New Challenges: Corporate Innovation in the United States and Japan, Office of Japan Affairs, National Research Council (Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 1997)
Hurley, Deborah and Hal Varian, eds., Internet Publishing and Beyond: The Economics of Digital Information and Intellectual Property (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
Jones, Megan, David H. Guston, and Lewis M. Branscomb, Informed Legislatures: Coping with Science in a Democracy (Lanham, Md.: University Press of America, 1996)
Kahin, Brian and James Keller, eds., Coordinating the Internet (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
Kahin, Brian and Charles Nesson, eds., Borders in Cyberspace: Information Policy and the Global Information Infrastructure (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
Kahin, Brian and Ernest Wilson, eds., National Information Infrastructure Initiatives: Vision and Policy Design (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1996)
Articles and Book Chapters
Branscomb, Lewis M., "Computers and Society," Encyclopaedia Americana (Danbury Conn.: Encyclopaedia Americana, 1996)
Branscomb, Lewis M., "From Technology Politics to Technology Policy," Issues in Science and Technology, Vol. 13, No. 3 (Spring 1977)
Branscomb, Lewis M., "Social Capital: The Key Element in Science-Based Development," Ann. N.Y. Acad. Sci., Vol. 798 (December 18, 1996)
Branscomb, Lewis M., "State and Federal Technology Relationships in the United States and Brazil (Annex 1)," in Lauritz Holm-Nielsen, Michael Crawford, and Alcyone Saliba, eds., Institutional and Entrepreneurial Leadership in the Brazilian Science and Technology Sector: Setting a New Agenda, World Bank Discussion Paper 325 (Washington, D.C.: International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 1996)
Branscomb, Lewis M., "Technology Policy: Resolving the Ideological Confusion" The Bridge, Vol. 27, No. 2 (Summer 1997)
Bunn, Matthew, "The Case for a Dual-Track Approach— and How to Move Forward from Here," Nuclear Materials Monitor(Landsdowne, Va.: Exchange Monitor Publications)
Bunn Matthew, "Eliminating Excess Plutonium Stockpiles: A Dual-Track Disposition Strategy," Strategic Comments, Vol. 3, No. 2, (March 1997)
Bunn, Matthew (executive secretary), U.S.-Russian Independent Scientific Commission on Disposition of Excess Weapons Plutonium: Final Report (Washington, D.C.: Office of Science and Technology Policy, June 1, 1997)
Bunn, Matthew and John Holdren, "Managing Military Uranium and Plutonium in the United States and the Former Soviet Union," Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, Vol. 22 (1997)
Bunn, Matthew et al. Nonproliferation and Arms Control Assessment of Weapons-Usable Fissile Material Storage and Excess Plutonium Disposition Alternatives, DOE/NN-0007 (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Energy, January 1997) (principal author)
Guston, David H., Megan Jones, and Lewis M. Branscomb, "Academe''s Place in the Legislatures" in Albert H. Teich, Stephen D. Nelson, and Celia McEnaney, eds., AAAS Science and Technology Policy Yearbook 1996-1997 (Washington, D.C.: American Association for the Advancement of Science, 1997)
Guston, David H., Megan Jones, and Lewis M. Branscomb, "Helping States Tackle Technical Issues," Issues in Science and Technology, Vol. 12, No. 4 (Summer 1996)
Guston, David H., Megan Jones, and Lewis M. Branscomb, "Technology Assessment in the U.S. State Legislatures," in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 54, No. 2-3 (1997)
Holdren, John P. "Federal Energy R&D for the Challenges of the 21st Century," in Lewis M. Branscomb and James Keller, eds., Investing in Innovation (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
Holdren, John P., "The Plutonium Disposal Decision: Work with Russia," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 53, No. 2 (March/April 1997)
Holdren, John P. and Judith Reppy, "Introduction," in J. Reppy, V. Avduyevsky, J. Holdren, and J. Rotblat, eds., in Conversion of Military R&D (London: Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs, 1997)
Holdren, John P. (U.S. cochair), Evgeniy P. Velikhov (Russian cochair), John F. Ahearne, Matthew Bunn, Richard L. Garwin, Wolfgang K. H. Panofsky, John Taylor, Alexei Makarov, Fedor Mitenkov, Nikolai Ponomarev-Stepnoi, Fedor Reshetnikov, and Dmitri Tsourikov (Independent Bilateral Scientific Commission on Plutonium Disposition), "Final Report," President''s Committee of Advisers on Science and Technology, the White House, and Russian Academy of Sciences, June 1997
Kahin, Brian, "Auctioning Global Namespace: A New Form of Intellectual Property, A New Vision of Universal Service," February 1996 (http//ksg.www.harvard.edu/iip/cix.html)
Kahin, Brian, "Beyond the National Information Infrastructure Initiative," in Lewis Branscomb and James Keller, eds., Investing in Innovation (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1997)
Kahin, Brian, "Developing the Digital Library: Institutional, Legal, and Policy Issues," in Teresa Harrison and Timothy Stephens, eds., Computer Networks and Scholarly Communications in the 21st Century University (Albany: State University of New York Press, 1996)
Kahin, Brian, "The Internet Business and Policy Landscape," in The Internet as Paradigm, Aspen Institute for Information Studies, 1997
Kahin, Brian and Kate Arms, eds., Electronic Commerce for Content: Forum on Technology-Based Intellectual Property Management, IMA Intellectual Property Proceedings, Vol. 2, 1996.
Kahin, Brian and Bruce McConnell, "Towards a Public Metanetwork: Interconnection, Leveraging, and Privatization of Government-Funded Networks in the United States." in Eli Noam and Aine Nishuilleabhain, eds., Private Networks Public Objectives (Elsevier North Holland: N.p., 1996)
Weeks, Jennifer, "Sino-U.S. Nuclear Cooperation at a Crossroads," Arms Control Today (June/July 1997)
Environment and Natural Resources Program
Discussion Papers
Agrawala, Shardul, "Explaining the Evolution of the IPCC Structure and Process, Discussion Paper" (August 1997)
Coglianese, Cary, "Assessing Consensus: The Promise and Performance of Negotiated Rulemaking" (May 1997)
Fisher-Vanden, Karen, "International Policy Instrument Prominence in the Climate Change Debate: A Case Study of the United States" (August 1997)
Franz, Wendy E., "The Development of an International Agenda for Climate Change: Connecting Science to Policy" (August 1997)
Global Environmental Assessment Project, "A Critical Evaluation of Global Environmental Assessment: The Climate Experience" (September 1997)
Kandlikar, Milind and Ambuj Sagar, "Climate Change Science and Policy: Lessons from India" (August 1997)
Keohane, Nathaniel, Richard Revesz, and Robert Stavins, "The Positive Political Economy of Instrument Choice in Environmental Policy" (July 1997)
Long, Marybeth and Alastair Iles, "Assessing Climate Change Impacts: Co-evolution of Knowledge, Communities, and Methodologies" (August 1997)
Meade, Andre and Sydney Rosen, "The Mixed-Grass Prairie Reserve: Managing the Greater Badlands Region as a Whole System" (March 1996)
Parson, Edward A. and Karen Fisher-Vanden, "Joint Implementation and Its Alternatives" (June 1997)
Patt, Anthony G., Assessing Extreme Outcomes: The Strategic Treatment of Low Probability Impacts of Climate Change" (August 1997)
Stavins, Robert, "Policy Instruments for Climate Change: How Can National Governments Address a Global Problem?" (December 1996)
Stavins, Robert and Brad Whitehead, "The Next Generation of Market-Based Environmental Policies" (December 1996)
Wright, Janice C., "''Bright Lines'' and the Value of Life: Resolving the Dispute over the Regulation of Carcinogens" (June 1997)
Strengthening Democratic Institutions Project
Research Reports
Antonenko, Oksana, New Russian Analytical Centers and Their Role in Political Decisionmaking (February 1996)
"The Caucasus and the Caspian: 1996-97 Seminar Series," Vols. 1 and 2 (1996, 1997)
Curran, Diane, Fiona Hill, and Elena Kostritsyna, The Search for Peace in Chechnya: A Sourcebook 1994-1996, March 1997
"Financial and Direct Investment Opportunities in Russia," Final Report from the U.S.-Russian Investment Symposium (March 1997)
Lantz, Matthew, Russian Election Compendium, March 1997
Occasional Papers
Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, "Will the Union Be Reborn? The Future of the Post-Soviet Region" (June 1997)
Kokoshin, Andrei A., "Reflection on Russia''s Past, Present, and Future" (June 1997)
Manilov, Valery, "National Security of Russia" (June 1997)
Articles and Book Chapters
Allison, Graham and Matthew Lantz, "No Holds Barred: An Analysis of Yeltsin''s Electoral Victory," Harvard International Review (Winter 1996/97), pp. 16-19
Ascher, Ivan, "The Moscow Press: Vanguard or Democracy? Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 4, No. 3 (Summer 1996)
Grigoriev, Sergei and Matthew Lantz, "Dead Man Winning," Boston Globe, July 11, 1996.
Grigoriev, Sergei and Matthew Lantz, "Lessons of the 1995 State Duma Elections," Demokratizatsiya , Vol. 4, No. 2 (Spring 1996)
Hill, Fiona, "Dilemmas of Democratization: The Case of Chechnya," in André Liebich, ed., Dilemmas of Democratization: The Case of Chechnya (Geneva: Graduate School of International Studies, 1997)
Hill, Fiona, "Le Caucase, zone-frontière et poudrière russe," in Joël Kotek, ed., L''Europe et ses villes-frontières (Brussels: Editions Complexe, 1996)
Hill, Fiona, "Pipeline Politics, Russo-Turkish Competition and Geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean, Cyprus Review, Vol. 8, No.1 (Spring 1996) (Nicosia: Intercollege, 1997); the Financial Mirror (Cyprus), February 14-20, 1996; Oikonomikos Tachydromos, September 26, 1996 (in Greek)
Hill, Fiona, "Russia''s Quagmire," Warreport, Special Edition: "Decision Time for the Caucasus" (London), June 1996
Lloyd, John, "Nowhere to Turn but Yeltsin," Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 4, No. 3 (Summer 1996)
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