Analysis & Opinions - Foreign Policy

What Should We Do if the Islamic State Wins?

| June 10, 2015

Live with it.

It's time to ponder a troubling possibility: What should we do if the Islamic State wins? By "wins," I don’t mean it spreads like wildfire throughout the Muslim world, eventually establishing a caliphate from Baghdad to Rabat and beyond. That's what its leaders say they are going to do, but revolutionary ambitions are not reality and that possibility is particularly far-fetched. Rather, an Islamic State victory would mean that the group retained power in the areas it now controls and successfully defied outside efforts to "degrade and destroy" it. So the question is: What do we do if the Islamic State becomes a real state and demonstrates real staying power?

That possibility is looking more likely these days, given Baghdad's inability to mount a successful counteroffensive....

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For more information on this publication: Belfer Communications Office
For Academic Citation: Walt, Stephen M..“What Should We Do if the Islamic State Wins?.” Foreign Policy, June 10, 2015.

The Author

Stephen Walt